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Serie A · Matchweek 6

Momentum

AtalantaComo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,042

Teams

Coaches
Ivan Juric · Daniel Guindos Lopez
Position
7 · 9
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luca Zufferli

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
14.5° (feels 13.6°)
Wind
2.0
Humidity
62%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 8.65–7.62 · xPts 7.74

  • W H Club Brugge 2–1 xG 2.99–0.79 UEFA CL
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 1.06–1.73 ITA SA
  • W A Torino 3–0 xG 1.53–1.35 ITA SA
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–4 xG 0.73–3.24 UEFA CL
  • W H Lecce 4–1 xG 2.34–0.5 ITA SA

Como

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 7.02–4.52 · xPts 8.81

  • D H Cremonese 1–1 xG 1.18–0.46 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.27–0.42 ITA SA
  • D H Genoa 1–1 xG 2.1–2.31 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–1 xG 0.9–0.99 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.57–0.34 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Atalanta 12 draws1 Como

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Atalanta 12 draws1 Como

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Atalanta 12 draws1 Como

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Como 0–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Como 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 2–3 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Como all · 38Como away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.871.84
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 420 / 11 / 710 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.341.321.711.58
Goals against / match0.950.790.760.74
Clean sheets34%37%50%47%
Failed to score21%32%24%32%
Both teams scored53%42%42%37%
Over 2.537%37%45%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.951.601.28
xG against / match1.180.930.910.97
xG difference0.531.010.690.32
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.630.110.30
xPts / match1.711.991.781.55
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.250.090.29
Game state
Scored first50%47%58%53%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.452.80
PPG when conceding first0.560.751.100.67
Came back from behind44%50%42%33%
Leads held75%90%80%91%
Minutes leading28%33%38%32%
Minutes level51%51%48%53%
Minutes trailing21%16%14%15%
First goal (min)46313233
First goal conceded (min)48484140
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%58%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%59%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.390.37
Late goals against0.240.160.110.11
Style
Possession55%56%62%59%
Shots14.817.114.412.2
On target4.65.15.13.9
Shot conversion9%8%12%13%
Shots inside box66%66%66%65%
Big chances created2.53.02.61.9
Corners5.76.84.53.9
xG from set plays25%28%32%37%
Goals from headers14%24%15%17%
Pressure index15.919.221.117.1
Dominant minutes55.461.767.260.0
Pass accuracy84%85%87%87%
Fouls11.811.413.414.3
Cards1.681.262.212.26

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Como

0–15'115
16–30'72
31–45'95
46–60'910
61–75'143
76–90'154

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.705

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.27

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 90%1.791.710.791.560.95
3-4-2-12 5%2.01.51.01.520.83
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.00.02.50.35
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.02.230.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Atalanta or Draw 35% P 36%1.3Atalanta or Como 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Como 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.49-1.982
Fouls / match23.625.2-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-19 50 291 20'5
2025-09-13 10 280 87'7
2025-08-23 20 280 19'6
2025-05-18 51 380 20'8
2025-04-12 10 170 52'3
2025-03-08 10 150 38'7
2025-03-02 30 391 29'6
2025-02-09 50 341 9'5
2025-02-02 31 270 37'5
2025-01-17 20 240 18'6