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Serie A · Matchweek 6

Momentum

InterCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Capacity
75,817
Surface
grass
Attendance
70,750

Teams

Coaches
Cristian Chivu · Davide Nicola
Position
6 · 5
Formation
3-5-2 · 5-3-2

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.4° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
51%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Inter

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 10.79–2.5 · xPts 11.53

  • W H Slavia Praha 3–0 xG 3.43–0.11 UEFA CL
  • W A Cagliari 2–0 xG 2.58–0.21 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 2–1 xG 2.1–0.54 ITA SA
  • W A Ajax 2–0 xG 1.63–0.92 UEFA CL
  • L A Juventus 3–4 xG 1.06–0.72 ITA SA

Cremonese

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 3.87–8.05 · xPts 3.88

  • D A Como 1–1 xG 0.46–1.18 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 0.1–1.33 ITA SA
  • D A Hellas Verona 0–0 xG 0.32–1.53 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 3–2 xG 2.67–1.37 ITA SA
  • W A AC Milan 2–1 xG 0.33–2.64 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Inter 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 11–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Inter 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 11–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Inter 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 11–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Cremonese 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 4–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 3–1 Cremonese neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricInter all · 38Inter at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.292.370.890.95
W / D / L27 / 6 / 514 / 3 / 28 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match2.342.630.840.74
Goals against / match0.920.841.501.47
Clean sheets47%42%29%26%
Failed to score5%5%45%53%
Both teams scored47%53%42%32%
Over 2.555%63%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.942.240.950.73
xG against / match0.900.771.591.77
xG difference1.041.47-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG0.400.39-0.110.01
xPts / match2.002.221.010.77
Points vs xPts0.290.15-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first84%90%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.532.472.253.00
PPG when conceding first1.001.500.050.08
Came back from behind38%33%5%8%
Leads held77%78%67%100%
Minutes leading52%53%18%18%
Minutes level39%40%48%44%
Minutes trailing10%7%34%38%
First goal (min)29294947
First goal conceded (min)50563735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%62%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%56%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.550.630.240.11
Late goals against0.320.370.240.16
Style
Possession60%60%46%46%
Shots17.118.29.17.9
On target6.06.83.32.9
Shot conversion14%14%9%9%
Shots inside box72%75%61%59%
Big chances created3.94.71.61.3
Corners6.37.43.53.4
xG from set plays28%30%34%32%
Goals from headers23%18%19%14%
Pressure index23.024.96.95.7
Dominant minutes66.170.332.829.1
Pass accuracy87%88%78%77%
Fouls13.113.213.513.7
Cards1.681.372.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 82% P 82%7.0Draw 14% P 13%21.0Away 5% P 5%

Double Chance

1.01Inter Milan or Draw 47% P 47%1.1Inter Milan or Cremonese 43% P 44%5.0Draw or Cremonese 10% P 9%

Draw No Bet

1.021 94%17.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35% P 37%1.44No 65% P 63%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home82%81%83%+1.6
Draw13%13%11%-1.8
Away5%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 35–37.5% · 141 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes37%36%38%+1.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Ermanno Feliciani

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.26 (3.21 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 40 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.084.49-2.010
Fouls / match23.125.2-1.28
Fouls per card7.95.6+2.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 40 300 12'7
2025-05-03 30 200 46'9
2025-02-08 40 210 70'6
2025-01-19 · Inter 19 63'6
2025-01-05 30 180 8'6
2024-12-22 20 261 22'8
2024-11-02 30 330 47'7
2024-10-26 10 180 16'1
2024-10-04 20 171 59'6