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Serie A · Matchweek 6

Momentum

LazioTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
36,000

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Marco Baroni
Position
13 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marco Piccinini

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
18.6° (feels 17.4°)
Wind
4.3
Humidity
33%

Where to watch · 340

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.38–5.97 · xPts 7.18

  • W A Genoa 3–0 xG 2.61–0.98 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 0–1 xG 0.66–1.44 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 0–1 xG 0.8–1.18 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 4–0 xG 2.98–0.8 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–2 xG 0.34–1.57 ITA SA

Torino

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 4.94–7.78 · xPts 4.87

  • L A Parma 1–2 xG 1.03–1.37 ITA SA
  • L H Atalanta 0–3 xG 1.35–1.53 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 0.68–1.47 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 0–0 xG 0.82–1.6 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–5 xG 1.05–1.82 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2006

Lazio 1414 draws6 Torino

Goals 56–37 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lazio 35 draws2 Torino

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lazio 22 draws1 Torino

Goals 9–8 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Torino 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 3–3 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 2–3 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 0–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.581.180.89
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 512 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.081.421.160.89
Goals against / match1.051.321.661.79
Clean sheets40%32%32%37%
Failed to score45%32%29%42%
Both teams scored29%42%50%37%
Over 2.532%47%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.221.07
xG against / match1.361.421.481.37
xG difference-0.19-0.12-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.090.12-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.231.281.221.19
Points vs xPts0.190.30-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first42%47%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.502.562.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.470.00
Came back from behind33%50%29%17%
Leads held70%67%71%57%
Minutes leading21%28%19%10%
Minutes level54%45%46%49%
Minutes trailing25%27%35%40%
First goal (min)42364448
First goal conceded (min)35282926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.320.37
Late goals against0.180.260.210.21
Style
Possession50%50%44%43%
Shots11.012.211.811.1
On target4.14.74.03.7
Shot conversion10%12%10%8%
Shots inside box61%61%62%59%
Big chances created1.91.92.01.6
Corners3.74.63.83.4
xG from set plays30%30%30%31%
Goals from headers7%11%23%24%
Pressure index12.214.69.17.4
Dominant minutes45.049.036.432.3
Pass accuracy86%86%79%80%
Fouls10.610.913.914.3
Cards2.292.471.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -15.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 47%3.2Draw 30% P 30%4.1Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Lazio or Draw 39% P 39%1.36Lazio or Torino 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Torino 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw30%30%28%-1.5
Away23%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Marco Piccinini

Career
87 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.24 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.314.49-0.2634
Fouls / match24.425.2-0.45
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.31+0.0358
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.08

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 20 270 45'6
2025-09-15 41 300 29'8
2025-05-18 51 280 21'6
2025-05-11 30 260 45'8
2025-04-20 10 150 56'5
2025-04-06 60 240 39'5
2025-03-16 20 160 26'7
2025-03-10 · Lazio 60 200 8'7
2025-02-22 20 210 55'6
2025-02-16 50 380 27'7