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Serie A · Matchweek 7

Momentum

CagliariBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,168

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
11 · 7
Formation
4-5-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Matteo Marchetti

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
21.3° (feels 21.0°)
Wind
4.8
Humidity
57%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.09–9.86 · xPts 4.41

  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 0.88–2.87 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.21–2.58 ITA SA
  • W A Lecce 2–1 xG 2.19–0.68 ITA SA
  • W H Parma 2–0 xG 1.36–1.78 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–1 xG 0.46–1.95 ITA SA

Bologna

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 8.78–6.07 · xPts 8.22

  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 3.11–0.04 ITA SA
  • D H SC Freiburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.81 UEFA EL
  • D A Lecce 2–2 xG 1.58–1.66 ITA SA
  • L A Aston Villa 0–1 xG 1.56–1.87 UEFA EL
  • W H Genoa 2–1 xG 1.89–0.68 ITA SA

All meetings · 30 matches since 2008

Cagliari 108 draws12 Bologna

Goals 32–37 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 37%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cagliari 31 draws6 Bologna

Goals 9–15 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cagliari 11 draws3 Bologna

Goals 3–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Bologna 0–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–0 Cagliari neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 3–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.321.471.79
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 816 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.051.161.291.58
Goals against / match1.391.211.211.21
Clean sheets21%32%32%26%
Failed to score37%37%29%16%
Both teams scored50%37%45%58%
Over 2.550%37%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.961.321.21
xG against / match1.401.241.121.24
xG difference-0.38-0.280.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG0.030.20-0.030.37
xPts / match1.131.191.491.36
Points vs xPts0.000.13-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first29%32%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.093.002.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.671.00
Came back from behind35%33%30%44%
Leads held65%78%70%71%
Minutes leading16%20%26%35%
Minutes level51%52%54%50%
Minutes trailing32%28%20%15%
First goal (min)49524440
First goal conceded (min)37384646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.260.37
Late goals against0.370.370.240.32
Style
Possession46%45%55%54%
Shots10.910.712.911.1
On target3.53.43.83.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%14%
Shots inside box61%63%63%63%
Big chances created1.91.91.81.9
Corners3.84.24.53.7
xG from set plays37%43%30%27%
Goals from headers30%46%6%0%
Pressure index8.59.313.813.2
Dominant minutes36.840.254.052.2
Pass accuracy80%79%82%82%
Fouls13.813.813.113.4
Cards2.241.891.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.48

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
5-3-22 5%1.51.52.01.381.51

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 24%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.1Away 45% P 46%

Double Chance

1.7Cagliari or Draw 28% P 27%1.36Cagliari or Bologna 35% P 35%1.28Draw or Bologna 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 45–47.5% · 191 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%21%-3.2
Draw30%29%29%-0.6
Away46%46%50%+3.8

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Matteo Marchetti

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.41 (4.13 yellow · 0.24 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.144.48-0.4932
Fouls / match25.425.1+0.24
Fouls per card6.15.6+0.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.31+0.1263
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.32

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 40 221 38'8
2025-07-24 50 270 23'10
2025-07-15 50 190 10'7
2025-05-12 50 380 83'8
2025-04-13 40 300 23'2
2025-03-15 61 280 10'7
2025-03-03 10 220 63'6
2025-02-22 60 330 47'6
2025-02-15 · Cagliari 20 180 90'4
2024-12-07 · Bologna 70 320 18'8