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Serie A · Matchweek 7

Momentum

LecceSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
Capacity
40,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,307

Teams

Coaches
Eusebio Di Francesco · Fabio Grosso
Position
14 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Valerio Crezzini

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
19.4° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
8.1
Humidity
70%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lecce

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 4.08–8.03 · xPts 4.35

  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 0.62–0.68 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 2–2 xG 1.66–1.58 ITA SA
  • L H Cagliari 1–2 xG 0.68–2.19 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–4 xG 0.5–2.34 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–2 xG 0.62–1.24 ITA SA

Sassuolo

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.63–7.79 · xPts 6.38

  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 2.14–1.22 ITA SA
  • W H Udinese 3–1 xG 1.39–1.01 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 1–2 xG 0.54–2.1 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 1–0 xG 1.18–0.8 ITA SA
  • L A Cremonese 2–3 xG 1.37–2.67 ITA SA

All meetings · 8 matches since 2019

Lecce 23 draws3 Sassuolo

Goals 11–11 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Lecce 23 draws3 Sassuolo

Goals 11–11 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lecce 22 draws1 Sassuolo

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 4–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLecce all · 38Lecce at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.001.051.291.05
W / D / L10 / 8 / 205 / 5 / 914 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match0.740.681.211.11
Goals against / match1.321.261.321.26
Clean sheets26%26%21%21%
Failed to score50%53%32%32%
Both teams scored37%37%53%58%
Over 2.537%42%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.891.071.151.14
xG against / match1.531.381.441.52
xG difference-0.64-0.31-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.390.06-0.04
xPts / match1.011.211.201.15
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.160.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first42%42%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.060.130.550.45
Came back from behind9%18%29%31%
Leads held62%62%82%71%
Minutes leading20%22%22%15%
Minutes level53%51%47%55%
Minutes trailing28%26%31%31%
First goal (min)32243850
First goal conceded (min)42413236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%31%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%67%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.110.160.11
Late goals against0.240.110.320.37
Style
Possession42%44%46%45%
Shots9.810.610.710.6
On target2.62.83.73.8
Shot conversion8%6%11%10%
Shots inside box58%61%66%66%
Big chances created1.31.52.12.0
Corners4.34.23.83.7
xG from set plays33%39%29%33%
Goals from headers29%31%9%10%
Pressure index7.28.79.07.3
Dominant minutes34.340.538.634.6
Pass accuracy74%76%82%82%
Fouls12.612.012.012.2
Cards1.871.892.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 33%3.1Draw 30% P 32%2.55Away 37% P 34%

Double Chance

1.5Lecce or Draw 32% P 33%1.36Lecce or Sassuolo 35% P 34%1.4Draw or Sassuolo 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 51%1.8No 52% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 42%1.61Under 59% P 58%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.69 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Valerio Crezzini

Career
12 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.25 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 8.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.49-1.1310
Fouls / match26.025.2+0.59
Fouls per card8.45.6+2.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added7.56.4+2.22100
First card
40' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 51% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-22 30 281 50'11
2025-08-31 27 3
2025-05-11 50 290 13'5