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Serie A · Matchweek 7

Momentum

TorinoNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,802

Teams

Coaches
Marco Baroni · Antonio Conte
Position
16 · 1
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
17.9° (feels 17.0°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
50%

Where to watch · 356

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.54–7.41 · xPts 5.5

  • D A Lazio 3–3 xG 1.66–1.45 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 1–2 xG 1.03–1.37 ITA SA
  • L H Atalanta 0–3 xG 1.35–1.53 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 0.68–1.47 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 0–0 xG 0.82–1.6 ITA SA

Napoli

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.02–7.72 · xPts 6.45

  • W H Genoa 2–1 xG 1.7–0.61 ITA SA
  • W H Sporting CP 2–1 xG 0.75–1.44 UEFA CL
  • L A AC Milan 1–2 xG 2.85–1.0 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 3–2 xG 1.54–2.61 ITA SA
  • L A Manchester City 0–2 xG 0.18–2.06 UEFA CL

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Torino 67 draws19 Napoli

Goals 30–56 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 21 draws7 Napoli

Goals 7–15 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 11 draws3 Napoli

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Napoli 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 3–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 3–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 1–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.472.001.74
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 723 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.161.421.531.32
Goals against / match1.661.530.950.95
Clean sheets32%26%40%42%
Failed to score29%16%21%26%
Both teams scored50%63%47%37%
Over 2.563%68%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.381.471.48
xG against / match1.481.601.060.99
xG difference-0.26-0.220.400.49
Finishing vs xG-0.060.050.06-0.17
xPts / match1.221.261.631.66
Points vs xPts-0.040.220.370.08
Game state
Scored first40%42%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.470.900.930.63
Came back from behind29%42%47%33%
Leads held71%80%96%91%
Minutes leading19%28%40%40%
Minutes level46%43%40%38%
Minutes trailing35%29%20%22%
First goal (min)44413126
First goal conceded (min)29313736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.260.21
Late goals against0.210.210.180.21
Style
Possession44%45%59%59%
Shots11.812.513.212.6
On target4.04.34.74.2
Shot conversion10%11%12%10%
Shots inside box62%65%64%62%
Big chances created2.02.52.02.0
Corners3.84.35.54.7
xG from set plays30%30%29%33%
Goals from headers23%22%17%24%
Pressure index9.110.720.418.8
Dominant minutes36.440.363.662.6
Pass accuracy79%79%87%86%
Fouls13.913.611.211.3
Cards1.921.791.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71
5-3-22 5%2.00.50.01.191.3

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 18%3.25Draw 29% P 29%1.8Away 53% P 53%

Double Chance

1.95Torino or Draw 24% P 24%1.33Torino or Napoli 35% P 35%1.16Draw or Napoli 41% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 53%2.2Under 42% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home18%19%24%+5.3
Draw29%27%26%-1.3
Away53%54%50%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Matteo Marcenaro

Career
53 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 49 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.49+0.7276
Fouls / match24.325.2-0.50
Fouls per card4.95.6-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.31+0.0358
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 50 330 10'8
2025-08-24 31 220 14'6
2025-07-24 20 150 43'8
2025-07-15 71 330 14'6
2025-05-25 51 210 9'6
2025-04-13 · Torino 40 250 31'2
2024-12-23 70 241 5'9
2024-11-03 41 270 35'7