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Serie A · Matchweek 8

Momentum

CremoneseAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,052

Teams

Coaches
Davide Nicola · Ivan Juric
Position
11 · 9
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Alberto Arena

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.2° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
3.2
Humidity
67%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

DDDLD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 2.49–7.73 · xPts 3.22

  • D H Udinese 1–1 xG 0.99–0.98 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 1–4 xG 0.63–2.72 ITA SA
  • D A Como 1–1 xG 0.46–1.18 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 0.1–1.33 ITA SA
  • D A Hellas Verona 0–0 xG 0.32–1.53 ITA SA

Atalanta

DWDDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 10.3–4.74 · xPts 10.06

  • D H Slavia Praha 0–0 xG 2.58–0.92 UEFA CL
  • D H Lazio 0–0 xG 2.38–0.33 ITA SA
  • D H Como 1–1 xG 1.28–0.96 ITA SA
  • W H Club Brugge 2–1 xG 2.99–0.79 UEFA CL
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 1.06–1.73 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Cremonese 02 draws2 Atalanta

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Cremonese 02 draws2 Atalanta

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Cremonese 02 draws2 Atalanta

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cremonese 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 1–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.551.37
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 915 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match0.840.951.341.37
Goals against / match1.501.530.951.11
Clean sheets29%32%34%32%
Failed to score45%37%21%10%
Both teams scored42%53%53%63%
Over 2.545%47%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.711.46
xG against / match1.591.421.181.42
xG difference-0.64-0.240.530.04
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.23-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.011.251.711.44
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.40-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first32%37%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.560.38
Came back from behind5%0%44%38%
Leads held67%43%75%60%
Minutes leading18%17%28%22%
Minutes level48%52%51%52%
Minutes trailing34%30%21%26%
First goal (min)49514657
First goal conceded (min)37394849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.340.42
Late goals against0.240.320.240.32
Style
Possession46%47%55%54%
Shots9.110.314.812.5
On target3.33.74.64.2
Shot conversion9%9%9%11%
Shots inside box61%62%66%66%
Big chances created1.61.92.52.2
Corners3.53.65.74.5
xG from set plays34%36%25%21%
Goals from headers19%22%14%4%
Pressure index6.98.115.912.7
Dominant minutes32.836.555.449.1
Pass accuracy78%78%84%83%
Fouls13.513.411.812.3
Cards2.082.111.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
5-3-21 3%0.01.04.00.632.72

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 14% P 14%4.75Draw 20% P 20%1.42Away 67% P 66%

Double Chance

2.75Cremonese or Draw 17% P 17%1.18Cremonese or Atalanta 40% P 40%1.1Draw or Atalanta 43% P 43%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%13%-0.7
Draw20%20%21%+1.1
Away66%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Alberto Arena

Career
14 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.14 (3.07 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
59%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.234.49-1.795
Fouls / match22.325.2-1.82
Fouls per card7.45.6+1.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.31-1.372
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
38' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
59% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 30 300 21'7
2025-09-15 · Cremonese 30 210 43'7
2025-08-24 · Atalanta 20 190 28'6
2025-04-27 30 340 34'6