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Serie A · Matchweek 8

Momentum

SassuoloRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,674

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Gian Gasperini
Position
11 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.9° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
2.5
Humidity
55%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.66–6.07 · xPts 6.51

  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.41–0.95 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 2.14–1.22 ITA SA
  • W H Udinese 3–1 xG 1.39–1.01 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 1–2 xG 0.54–2.1 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 1–0 xG 1.18–0.8 ITA SA

Roma

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 9.34–4.88 · xPts 9.42

  • L H Viktoria Plzeň 1–2 xG 2.57–0.27 UEFA EL
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 1.43–1.09 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.63–1.03 ITA SA
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 2.87–1.11 UEFA EL
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–0 xG 0.84–1.39 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Sassuolo 29 draws13 Roma

Goals 26–45 · 2.96 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sassuolo 14 draws5 Roma

Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 10 draws4 Roma

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Roma 2–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 3–4 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Roma 0–0 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.531.921.63
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 823 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match1.211.321.551.37
Goals against / match1.321.370.821.11
Clean sheets21%21%47%37%
Failed to score32%32%18%21%
Both teams scored53%47%34%42%
Over 2.555%58%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.161.481.39
xG against / match1.441.370.991.26
xG difference-0.29-0.200.490.14
Finishing vs xG0.060.150.07-0.02
xPts / match1.201.241.701.50
Points vs xPts0.090.280.220.13
Game state
Scored first37%42%66%58%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.550.640.380.38
Came back from behind29%27%27%20%
Leads held82%90%88%83%
Minutes leading22%30%40%39%
Minutes level47%39%44%41%
Minutes trailing31%31%16%20%
First goal (min)38263630
First goal conceded (min)32284644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.240.16
Late goals against0.320.260.260.32
Style
Possession46%47%56%55%
Shots10.710.713.211.2
On target3.73.74.74.2
Shot conversion11%12%12%12%
Shots inside box66%66%74%71%
Big chances created2.12.12.22.0
Corners3.83.85.24.6
xG from set plays29%25%31%36%
Goals from headers9%8%20%12%
Pressure index9.010.618.616.3
Dominant minutes38.642.661.955.8
Pass accuracy82%82%83%82%
Fouls12.011.813.814.8
Cards2.372.321.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 22%3.4Draw 28% P 28%1.9Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9Sassuolo or Draw 25% P 25%1.28Sassuolo or Roma 36% P 36%1.2Draw or Roma 39% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%24%21%-2.5
Draw28%28%29%+0.4
Away50%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Gianluca Manganiello

Career
121 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
3.89 (3.68 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.49-0.9517
Fouls / match24.125.2-0.64
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.72 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.31-0.8520
Time added5.96.4-1.0715
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 10 300 42'9
2025-09-14 19 5
2025-08-24 50 270 17'6
2025-05-03 40 171 23'5
2025-04-27 10 270 55'8
2025-04-13 50 290 12'2
2025-03-29 · Roma 30 170 54'7
2025-03-15 30 300 52'5
2025-03-02 41 201 67'6
2025-02-23 40 310 24'6