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Serie A · Matchweek 8

Momentum

UdineseLecce
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,441

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Eusebio Di Francesco
Position
11 · 16
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.6° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
3.3
Humidity
59%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.46–5.49 · xPts 7.19

  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 0.98–0.99 ITA SA
  • D H Cagliari 1–1 xG 2.87–0.88 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–3 xG 1.01–1.39 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–3 xG 0.45–1.54 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 1–0 xG 1.15–0.69 ITA SA

Lecce

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.4–7.2 · xPts 5.29

  • D H Sassuolo 0–0 xG 0.95–0.41 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 0.62–0.68 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 2–2 xG 1.66–1.58 ITA SA
  • L H Cagliari 1–2 xG 0.68–2.19 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–4 xG 0.5–2.34 ITA SA

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Udinese 103 draws5 Lecce

Goals 27–17 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 52 draws3 Lecce

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 40 draws1 Lecce

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Lecce 2–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 3–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lecce 1–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Lecce neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–2 Lecce neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Lecce all · 38Lecce away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.000.95
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 810 / 8 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.180.950.740.79
Goals against / match1.261.111.321.37
Clean sheets29%32%26%26%
Failed to score29%37%50%47%
Both teams scored45%37%37%37%
Over 2.545%37%37%32%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.140.890.71
xG against / match1.461.201.531.68
xG difference-0.32-0.05-0.64-0.97
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.19-0.150.08
xPts / match1.191.321.010.81
Points vs xPts0.12-0.11-0.010.14
Game state
Scored first45%42%42%42%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.060.00
Came back from behind27%27%9%0%
Leads held74%67%62%62%
Minutes leading26%23%20%17%
Minutes level47%50%53%55%
Minutes trailing28%26%28%28%
First goal (min)41443239
First goal conceded (min)37424242
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%43%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%64%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.160.21
Late goals against0.290.210.240.37
Style
Possession46%48%42%39%
Shots11.612.89.89.0
On target3.83.92.62.3
Shot conversion10%7%8%9%
Shots inside box60%57%58%54%
Big chances created1.91.81.31.2
Corners4.54.74.34.4
xG from set plays28%33%33%25%
Goals from headers20%29%29%27%
Pressure index9.811.07.25.7
Dominant minutes41.245.434.328.1
Pass accuracy80%82%74%73%
Fouls13.613.712.613.3
Cards1.921.741.871.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
3-4-31 3%3.02.00.01.91.49

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 49%3.2Draw 30% P 30%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Udinese or Draw 39% P 39%1.36Udinese or Lecce 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Lecce 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 47%1.75No 53% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-2.2
Draw30%29%33%+3.5
Away21%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Ermanno Feliciani

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.26 (3.21 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 40 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.084.49-2.010
Fouls / match23.125.2-1.28
Fouls per card7.95.6+2.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 20 170 84'5
2025-09-28 40 300 12'7
2025-05-03 · Udinese 30 200 46'9
2025-02-08 40 210 70'6
2025-01-19 19 63'6
2025-01-05 30 180 8'6
2024-12-22 20 261 22'8
2024-11-02 30 330 47'7
2024-10-26 10 180 16'1