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Serie A · Matchweek 9

Momentum

BolognaTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,691

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Marco Baroni
Position
5 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.8° (feels 14.1°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
69%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 7.67–6.34 · xPts 8.01

  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 0.82–3.6 ITA SA
  • W A FCSB 2–1 xG 2.24–0.73 UEFA EL
  • W A Cagliari 2–0 xG 0.87–0.17 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 3.11–0.04 ITA SA
  • D H SC Freiburg 1–1 xG 0.63–1.81 UEFA EL

Torino

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.33–8.06 · xPts 6.43

  • W H Genoa 2–1 xG 1.62–1.63 ITA SA
  • W H Napoli 1–0 xG 1.68–2.09 ITA SA
  • D A Lazio 3–3 xG 1.66–1.45 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 1–2 xG 1.03–1.37 ITA SA
  • L H Atalanta 0–3 xG 1.35–1.53 ITA SA

All meetings · 28 matches since 2008

Bologna 910 draws9 Torino

Goals 35–36 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 53 draws2 Torino

Goals 12–7 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 32 draws0 Torino

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Torino 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 1–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.180.89
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 912 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.291.001.160.89
Goals against / match1.211.211.661.79
Clean sheets32%37%32%37%
Failed to score29%42%29%42%
Both teams scored45%32%50%37%
Over 2.545%37%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.221.07
xG against / match1.121.011.481.37
xG difference0.200.42-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.43-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.491.621.221.19
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.46-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first47%37%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.470.00
Came back from behind30%18%29%17%
Leads held70%67%71%57%
Minutes leading26%16%19%10%
Minutes level54%59%46%49%
Minutes trailing20%25%35%40%
First goal (min)44514448
First goal conceded (min)46452926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.320.37
Late goals against0.240.160.210.21
Style
Possession55%56%44%43%
Shots12.914.711.811.1
On target3.83.84.03.7
Shot conversion10%7%10%8%
Shots inside box63%62%62%59%
Big chances created1.81.82.01.6
Corners4.55.23.83.4
xG from set plays30%34%30%31%
Goals from headers6%16%23%24%
Pressure index13.814.49.17.4
Dominant minutes54.055.936.432.3
Pass accuracy82%83%79%80%
Fouls13.112.713.914.3
Cards1.971.421.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
3-1-4-22 5%0.00.04.00.612.35
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.5Draw 27% P 28%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Bologna or Draw 40% P 41%1.3Bologna or Torino 36% P 36%1.9Draw or Torino 25% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 47%1.75No 53% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 59%1.9Under 49% P 41%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%52%-1.7
Draw28%27%27%+0.4
Away19%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Giovanni Ayroldi

Career
60 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.85 (5.47 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.024.49+2.17100
Fouls / match27.525.2+1.59
Fouls per card4.65.6-1.26 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.31-0.6329
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
25' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.08

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-19 40 320 10'9
2025-09-29 60 340 1'6
2025-09-14 · Torino 50 280 32'12
2025-08-23 41 340 46'7
2025-05-18 30 220 3'7
2025-04-23 42 260 22'12
2025-04-05 70 240 31'9
2025-03-15 70 370 19'4
2025-03-08 50 251 2'6
2024-12-30 · Bologna 71 330 44'7