Rating 7.55 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 17 (27% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.27 ppg with (30) · 2.38 without (8)
Serie A · Matchweek 9
Momentum
– InterFiorentina –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Inter | at home | Stat | league | away | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.0 #9 |
| 17.1 #1 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 12.9 #9 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 3.4 #16 |
| 6.3 #1 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 13.1 #9 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.4 #12 |
| 1.6 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.3 #19 |
| 102.7 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 89.4 #12 |
| 58.4 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 39.0 #10 |
| 547.5 #2 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 423.6 #10 |
| 1.7 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 1.7 #1 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.6 #15 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #19 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #1 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.4 #8 |
| 0.4 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #17 |
| – #20 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #10 |
| 2.3 #1 | 2.6 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 #12 |
| 0.9 #16 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 #7 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.4 #12 |
| – #20 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.8 #4 |
| 12.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 8.1 #9 |
| 6.6 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #6 |
| 4.8 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Inter · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.31 (100th pct) · G+A 17 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 2.33 ppg with (27) · 2.18 without (11)
Rating 7.16 (89th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 2.19 ppg with (31) · 2.71 without (7)
Fiorentina · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.2 (91th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (30) · 0.88 without (8)
Rating 6.91 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (56th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 9
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 71,096
Teams
- Coaches
- Cristian Chivu · Stefano Pioli
- Position
- 4 · 18
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-5-1-1
Referee
Simone Sozza
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 11.5° (feels 10.4°)
- Wind
- 1.8
- Humidity
- 66%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Inter
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 13.41–4.81 · xPts 10.94
- L
A
Napoli
1–3
xG 1.82–1.39
ITA SA
- W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
4–0
xG 4.36–1.25
UEFA CL - W
A
Roma
1–0
xG 1.09–1.43
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
4–1
xG 2.72–0.63
ITA SA
- W
H
Slavia Praha
3–0
xG 3.43–0.11
UEFA CL
LLWWWWWWWL 7W 0D 3L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 23 GA 11 · xG 22.84–8.59 · xPts 21.36
- L
A
Napoli
1–3
xG 1.82–1.39
ITA SA
- W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
4–0
xG 4.36–1.25
UEFA CL
- W
A
Roma
1–0
xG 1.09–1.43
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
4–1
xG 2.72–0.63
ITA SA
- W
H
Slavia Praha
3–0
xG 3.43–0.11
UEFA CL
- W
A
Cagliari
2–0
xG 2.58–0.21
ITA SA
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 2.1–0.54
ITA SA
- W
A
Ajax
2–0
xG 1.63–0.92
UEFA CL - L
A
Juventus
3–4
xG 1.06–0.72
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
1–2
xG 2.07–1.39
ITA SA
Fiorentina
WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 9.12–5.89 · xPts 8.65
- D
H
Bologna
2–2
xG 3.6–0.82
ITA SA
- W
A
SK Rapid
3–0
xG 2.11–0.89
UEFA ECL - L
A
AC Milan
1–2
xG 1.1–2.16
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
1–2
xG 1.03–1.63
ITA SA
- W
H
Sigma Olomouc
2–0
xG 1.28–0.39
UEFA ECL
WDLLDWLLWD 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 13 · xG 17.11–12.27 · xPts 16.48
- D
H
Bologna
2–2
xG 3.6–0.82
ITA SA
- W
A
SK Rapid
3–0
xG 2.11–0.89
UEFA ECL
- L
A
AC Milan
1–2
xG 1.1–2.16
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
1–2
xG 1.03–1.63
ITA SA
- W
H
Sigma Olomouc
2–0
xG 1.28–0.39
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Pisa
0–0
xG 1.22–0.95
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 0.42–1.27
ITA SA
- L
H
Napoli
1–3
xG 2.18–3.0
ITA SA
- D
A
Torino
0–0
xG 1.6–0.82
ITA SA
- W
H
Polissya Zhytomyr
3–2
xG 2.56–0.34
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 76–53 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 19–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Fiorentina 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 3–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 3–0 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 4–0 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 0–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 3–4 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 1–1 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 1–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Inter all · 38 | Inter at home · 19 | Fiorentina all · 38 | Fiorentina away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.37 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 6 / 5 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 9 / 15 / 14 | 5 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 2.34 | 2.63 | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.84 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 42% | 26% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 5% | 5% | 29% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% | 58% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 63% | 50% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.94 | 2.24 | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 0.90 | 0.77 | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | 1.04 | 1.47 | -0.08 | -0.60 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.40 | 0.39 | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | 0.15 | -0.23 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 84% | 90% | 45% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.47 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 30% | 20% |
| Leads held | 77% | 78% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes leading | 52% | 53% | 21% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 40% | 53% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 7% | 26% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 29 | 46 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 56 | 44 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 62% | 58% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 56% | 60% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 17.1 | 18.2 | 12.9 | 10.1 |
| On target | 6.0 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 75% | 63% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 32% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 23.0 | 24.9 | 13.1 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.1 | 70.3 | 47.7 | 40.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 13.2 | 12.4 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.37 | 2.29 | 2.42 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112
Fiorentina
0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 38 100% | 2.29 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 1.94 | 0.9 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 15 40% | 1.8 | 1.27 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| 3-5-2 | 8 21% | 0.38 | 1.0 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 1.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 1.22 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Inter all · 10 | Inter at home · 10 | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.26 | 2.28 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.61 | 1.90 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 1.40 | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.42 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.23 | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 78% | 40% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 47% | 25% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 43% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 24% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 36 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 51 | 45 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 70% | 44% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 59% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | 63% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 18.9 | 19.3 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 7% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 11% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 21.0 | 22.9 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.5 | 66.9 | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| Metric | Inter all · 49 | Inter at home · 25 | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 6 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 4 | 17 / 13 / 21 | 9 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 2.22 | 2.52 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 32% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 8% | 29% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% | 61% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.40 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | 1.11 | 1.48 | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.19 | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.09 | -0.19 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 72% | 43% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.67 | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 1.29 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Leads held | 85% | 86% | 59% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 45% | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 26% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 32 | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 52 | 43 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 64% | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 61% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 18.0 | 19.2 | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 31% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 22.7 | 24.0 | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.3 | 67.6 | 48.6 | 40.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.48 | 2.39 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.36Home 70% P 70%5.0Draw 19% P 19%8.5Away 11% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08Inter Milan or Draw 44% P 44%1.18Inter Milan or Fiorentina 40% P 41%3.0Draw or Fiorentina 16% P 15%
Draw No Bet
1.121 84%6.02 16%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 52%1.8No 52% P 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 61%2.2Under 43% P 39%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%12.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 70% | 69% | 72% | +3.5 |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | 18% | -1.5 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 9% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Simone Sozza
- Career
- 103 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.49
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.48 | 4.49 | -0.02 | 49 |
| Fouls / match | 25.7 | 25.2 | +0.40 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.6 | -0.09 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.31 | +1.24 | 85 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.4 | -0.24 | 27 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.42
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 28' | 8 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2025-09-21 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 83' | 10 |
| 2025-09-18 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10' | 7 |
| 2025-08-28 | – | – | 15 | – | 38' | 5 |
| 2025-08-24 · Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 43' | 10 |
| 2025-07-30 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-05-12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 90' | 6 |
| 2025-05-02 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-04-19 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 21' | 9 |