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Serie A · Matchweek 9

Momentum

RomaParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
61,043

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
2 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Valerio Crezzini

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
19.6° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
63%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Roma

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 9.78–4.46 · xPts 10.05

  • W A Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.28–0.97 ITA SA
  • L H Viktoria Plzeň 1–2 xG 2.57–0.27 UEFA EL
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 1.43–1.09 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.63–1.03 ITA SA
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 2.87–1.11 UEFA EL

Parma

DWLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 2 · xG 4.11–4.64 · xPts 6.79

  • D H Como 0–0 xG 0.68–0.68 ITA SA
  • D A Genoa 0–0 xG 0.06–2.22 ITA SA
  • L H Lecce 0–1 xG 0.68–0.62 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.37–1.03 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 0–0 xG 1.33–0.1 ITA SA

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Roma 223 draws3 Parma

Goals 62–20 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 39% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Roma 80 draws2 Parma

Goals 20–9 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Roma 40 draws1 Parma

Goals 11–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Parma 2–3 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 5–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 2–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 3–0 Parma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 2–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 0–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricRoma all · 38Roma at home · 19Parma all · 38Parma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.922.211.181.26
W / D / L23 / 4 / 1113 / 3 / 311 / 12 / 156 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.551.740.740.63
Goals against / match0.820.531.211.11
Clean sheets47%58%34%42%
Failed to score18%16%42%47%
Both teams scored34%26%40%32%
Over 2.537%32%29%26%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.481.570.890.86
xG against / match0.990.731.561.59
xG difference0.490.85-0.66-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.070.16-0.15-0.23
xPts / match1.701.911.010.96
Points vs xPts0.220.300.170.31
Game state
Scored first66%74%34%32%
PPG when scoring first2.722.862.462.67
PPG when conceding first0.380.400.370.44
Came back from behind27%40%25%22%
Leads held88%93%73%86%
Minutes leading40%41%13%14%
Minutes level44%46%63%63%
Minutes trailing16%12%24%23%
First goal (min)36424849
First goal conceded (min)46494139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%58%64%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%70%63%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.320.260.21
Late goals against0.260.210.340.37
Style
Possession56%58%44%42%
Shots13.215.310.79.0
On target4.75.22.72.5
Shot conversion12%11%7%7%
Shots inside box74%75%56%56%
Big chances created2.22.41.61.7
Corners5.25.73.83.5
xG from set plays31%27%40%43%
Goals from headers20%27%36%42%
Pressure index18.621.09.17.5
Dominant minutes61.968.037.832.6
Pass accuracy83%85%80%80%
Fouls13.812.710.810.8
Cards1.891.631.971.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.494

Behind vs level +0.02

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 65% P 65%3.9Draw 24% P 23%8.5Away 11% P 12%

Double Chance

1.08Roma or Draw 44% P 44%1.25Roma or Parma 38% P 39%2.62Draw or Parma 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 40%1.57No 59% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 10–12.5% · 253 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%64%-2.0
Draw23%22%22%+0.4
Away12%12%13%+1.7

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes40%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Valerio Crezzini

Career
12 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.25 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 8.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.48-1.1210
Fouls / match26.025.1+0.60
Fouls per card8.45.6+2.60 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added7.56.4+2.23100
First card
40' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 51% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 40 300 82'11
2025-09-22 30 281 50'11
2025-08-31 27 3
2025-05-11 50 290 13'5