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Serie A · Matchweek 10

Momentum

ParmaBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Capacity
27,906
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,672

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Antón Cuesta · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
16 · 7
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Kevin Bonacina

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.8° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Parma

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 3.69–5.55 · xPts 5.67

  • L A Roma 1–2 xG 0.91–1.01 ITA SA
  • D H Como 0–0 xG 0.68–0.68 ITA SA
  • D A Genoa 0–0 xG 0.06–2.22 ITA SA
  • L H Lecce 0–1 xG 0.68–0.62 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.37–1.03 ITA SA

Bologna

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 7.55–5.25 · xPts 8.53

  • D H Torino 0–0 xG 0.52–0.71 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 0.82–3.6 ITA SA
  • W A FCSB 2–1 xG 2.24–0.73 UEFA EL
  • W A Cagliari 2–0 xG 0.87–0.17 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 3.11–0.04 ITA SA

All meetings · 20 matches since 2009

Parma 59 draws6 Bologna

Goals 18–26 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Parma 24 draws4 Bologna

Goals 10–18 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Parma 21 draws2 Bologna

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Bologna 0–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 1–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 2–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 0–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 4–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 2–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 2–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 4–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricParma all · 38Parma at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.111.471.79
W / D / L11 / 12 / 155 / 6 / 816 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match0.740.841.291.58
Goals against / match1.211.321.211.21
Clean sheets34%26%32%26%
Failed to score42%37%29%16%
Both teams scored40%47%45%58%
Over 2.529%32%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.890.921.321.21
xG against / match1.561.531.121.24
xG difference-0.66-0.610.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.08-0.030.37
xPts / match1.011.061.491.36
Points vs xPts0.170.04-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first34%37%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.462.292.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.370.300.671.00
Came back from behind25%27%30%44%
Leads held73%62%70%71%
Minutes leading13%12%26%35%
Minutes level63%63%54%50%
Minutes trailing24%25%20%15%
First goal (min)48474440
First goal conceded (min)41424646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%69%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%60%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.260.37
Late goals against0.340.320.240.32
Style
Possession44%46%55%54%
Shots10.712.412.911.1
On target2.72.93.83.8
Shot conversion7%7%10%14%
Shots inside box56%56%63%63%
Big chances created1.61.41.81.9
Corners3.84.24.53.7
xG from set plays40%37%30%27%
Goals from headers36%31%6%0%
Pressure index9.110.813.813.2
Dominant minutes37.843.454.052.2
Pass accuracy80%80%82%82%
Fouls10.810.913.113.4
Cards1.972.111.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 19%3.0Draw 32% P 31%1.95Away 49% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Parma or Draw 26% P 25%1.36Parma or Bologna 34% P 34%1.18Draw or Bologna 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 36%1.5Under 64% P 64%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.536%36%41%+4.2

Kevin Bonacina

Career
17 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.41 (3.18 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
25.8 · 7.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.534.49-1.377
Fouls / match25.825.2+0.43
Fouls per card7.35.6+1.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.31-1.197
Time added6.56.4+0.1749
First card
27' on average
Card timing
25% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 40 230 5'6
2025-09-21 70 350 7'10
2025-08-30 30 280 5'6
2025-04-06 21 281 55'6
2025-02-21 40 261 31'7
2025-01-24 10 210 52'5
2024-12-13 51 220 8'5