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Serie A · Matchweek 10

Momentum

UdineseAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,167

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Ivan Juric
Position
12 · 10
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Michael Fabbri

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.1° (feels 17.1°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 6.61–7.39 · xPts 6.92

  • L A Juventus 1–3 xG 0.67–3.65 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 3–2 xG 1.08–0.47 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 0.98–0.99 ITA SA
  • D H Cagliari 1–1 xG 2.87–0.88 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–3 xG 1.01–1.39 ITA SA

Atalanta

DDDDD 0W 5D 0L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 9.92–3.73 · xPts 10.82

  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 1.76–0.46 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 1.92–1.05 ITA SA
  • D H Slavia Praha 0–0 xG 2.58–0.92 UEFA CL
  • D H Lazio 0–0 xG 2.38–0.33 ITA SA
  • D H Como 1–1 xG 1.28–0.96 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2006

Udinese 916 draws13 Atalanta

Goals 42–57 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 16 draws3 Atalanta

Goals 10–16 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 12 draws2 Atalanta

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Atalanta 2–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 1–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 0–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 2–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 2–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 0–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 2–2 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 2–6 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.551.37
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 815 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.180.951.341.37
Goals against / match1.261.110.951.11
Clean sheets29%32%34%32%
Failed to score29%37%21%10%
Both teams scored45%37%53%63%
Over 2.545%37%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.711.46
xG against / match1.461.201.181.42
xG difference-0.32-0.050.530.04
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.19-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.191.321.711.44
Points vs xPts0.12-0.11-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first45%42%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.560.38
Came back from behind27%27%44%38%
Leads held74%67%75%60%
Minutes leading26%23%28%22%
Minutes level47%50%51%52%
Minutes trailing28%26%21%26%
First goal (min)41444657
First goal conceded (min)37424849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.340.42
Late goals against0.290.210.240.32
Style
Possession46%48%55%54%
Shots11.612.814.812.5
On target3.83.94.64.2
Shot conversion10%7%9%11%
Shots inside box60%57%66%66%
Big chances created1.91.82.52.2
Corners4.54.75.74.5
xG from set plays28%33%25%21%
Goals from headers20%29%14%4%
Pressure index9.811.015.912.7
Dominant minutes41.245.455.449.1
Pass accuracy80%82%84%83%
Fouls13.613.711.812.3
Cards1.921.741.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
5-4-11 3%3.03.00.01.52.38

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 19%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.75Away 54% P 56%

Double Chance

2.1Udinese or Draw 22% P 22%1.25Udinese or Atalanta 37% P 37%1.16Draw or Atalanta 40% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%20%+0.6
Draw25%25%22%-3.1
Away56%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Michael Fabbri

Career
176 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.35 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.574.48+0.1256
Fouls / match24.125.1-0.67
Fouls per card5.35.6-0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-1.0010
Time added6.56.4+0.1749
First card
33' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-20 · Udinese 60 290 6'4
2025-05-25 62 220 32'9
2025-05-10 41 370 22'8
2025-04-27 30 200 3'7
2025-04-14 20 240 42'2
2025-03-16 50 220 13'3
2025-03-07 40 310 48'6
2025-02-14 40 241 52'6
2025-02-02 30 220 14'6
2025-01-19 81 180 14'5