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Serie A · Matchweek 11

Momentum

AtalantaSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,933

Teams

Coaches
Ivan Juric · Fabio Grosso
Position
12 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Valerio Crezzini

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
12.6° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 8.26–3.89 · xPts 9.65

  • W A Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 1.44–0.81 UEFA CL
  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 0.57–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 1.76–0.46 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 1.92–1.05 ITA SA
  • D H Slavia Praha 0–0 xG 2.58–0.92 UEFA CL

Sassuolo

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.37–5.87 · xPts 6.19

  • L H Genoa 1–2 xG 1.15–1.52 ITA SA
  • W A Cagliari 2–1 xG 0.71–0.9 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 0–1 xG 0.97–1.28 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.41–0.95 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 2.14–1.22 ITA SA

All meetings · 25 matches since 2013

Atalanta 145 draws6 Sassuolo

Goals 50–28 · 3.12 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 51 draws4 Sassuolo

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 30 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.291.05
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 414 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.341.321.211.11
Goals against / match0.950.791.321.26
Clean sheets34%37%21%21%
Failed to score21%32%32%32%
Both teams scored53%42%53%58%
Over 2.537%37%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.951.151.14
xG against / match1.180.931.441.52
xG difference0.531.01-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.630.06-0.04
xPts / match1.711.991.201.15
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.250.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first50%47%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.550.45
Came back from behind44%50%29%31%
Leads held75%90%82%71%
Minutes leading28%33%22%15%
Minutes level51%51%47%55%
Minutes trailing21%16%31%31%
First goal (min)46313850
First goal conceded (min)48483236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.160.11
Late goals against0.240.160.320.37
Style
Possession55%56%46%45%
Shots14.817.110.710.6
On target4.65.13.73.8
Shot conversion9%8%11%10%
Shots inside box66%66%66%66%
Big chances created2.53.02.12.0
Corners5.76.83.83.7
xG from set plays25%28%29%33%
Goals from headers14%24%9%10%
Pressure index15.919.29.07.3
Dominant minutes55.461.738.634.6
Pass accuracy84%85%82%82%
Fouls11.811.412.012.2
Cards1.681.262.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.48Home 64% P 65%4.5Draw 21% P 21%6.5Away 15% P 13%

Double Chance

1.12Atalanta or Draw 42% P 43%1.2Atalanta or Sassuolo 39% P 40%2.5Draw or Sassuolo 19% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
3.52.25Over 41% P 42%1.57Under 59% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Valerio Crezzini

Career
12 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.25 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 8.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.49-1.1310
Fouls / match26.025.2+0.59
Fouls per card8.45.6+2.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added7.56.4+2.22100
First card
40' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 51% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 40 170 38'8
2025-10-18 · Sassuolo 40 300 82'11
2025-09-22 30 281 50'11
2025-08-31 27 3
2025-05-11 50 290 13'5