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Serie A · Matchweek 11

Momentum

GenoaFiorentina
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Capacity
33,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,449

Teams

Coaches
Daniele De Rossi · Paolo Vanoli
Position
18 · 20
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marco Guida

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
13.6° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
69%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Genoa

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 7.83–6.22 · xPts 7.87

  • W A Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.52–1.15 ITA SA
  • L H Cremonese 0–2 xG 1.85–1.69 ITA SA
  • L A Torino 1–2 xG 1.63–1.62 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 2.22–0.06 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 0.61–1.7 ITA SA

Fiorentina

WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 10.17–7.04 · xPts 8.73

  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 2.19–1.46 UEFA ECL
  • L H Lecce 0–1 xG 1.27–0.92 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–3 xG 1.0–2.94 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 2–2 xG 3.6–0.82 ITA SA
  • W A SK Rapid 3–0 xG 2.11–0.89 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 36 matches since 2007

Genoa 318 draws15 Fiorentina

Goals 33–57 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Genoa 05 draws5 Fiorentina

Goals 8–20 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Genoa 03 draws2 Fiorentina

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–4 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 6–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–2 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 1–1 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricGenoa all · 38Genoa at home · 19Fiorentina all · 38Fiorentina away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.081.161.111.11
W / D / L10 / 11 / 176 / 4 / 99 / 15 / 145 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.081.161.081.05
Goals against / match1.341.371.321.53
Clean sheets24%21%26%21%
Failed to score40%42%29%37%
Both teams scored53%47%58%53%
Over 2.553%58%50%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.261.361.12
xG against / match1.481.311.431.72
xG difference-0.26-0.05-0.08-0.60
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.10-0.28-0.07
xPts / match1.221.341.331.03
Points vs xPts-0.14-0.18-0.230.07
Game state
Scored first40%37%45%47%
PPG when scoring first1.672.001.821.89
PPG when conceding first0.590.600.380.25
Came back from behind26%25%30%20%
Leads held56%67%45%46%
Minutes leading17%16%21%20%
Minutes level54%53%53%56%
Minutes trailing29%30%26%24%
First goal (min)41354640
First goal conceded (min)39374448
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%64%58%55%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%54%60%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.370.180.16
Late goals against0.210.210.320.37
Style
Possession49%51%51%50%
Shots11.412.112.910.1
On target3.83.93.42.8
Shot conversion9%10%8%10%
Shots inside box62%59%63%64%
Big chances created2.01.92.21.8
Corners3.73.64.43.4
xG from set plays43%46%32%39%
Goals from headers10%10%10%5%
Pressure index10.613.113.18.9
Dominant minutes42.251.547.740.7
Pass accuracy80%79%84%83%
Fouls12.412.612.412.9
Cards1.761.842.292.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Genoa

0–15'58
16–30'58
31–45'67
46–60'410
61–75'810
76–90'138

Fiorentina

0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.313

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.441.671.441.131.43
3-4-2-19 24%1.110.560.891.391.33
4-2-3-17 18%0.290.431.571.111.74
4-3-2-11 3%0.01.02.01.551.79
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.00.891.36

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-315 40%1.81.270.931.151.44
3-5-28 21%0.381.01.881.711.41
4-1-4-13 8%0.670.671.01.421.41
3-4-2-13 8%0.670.671.01.061.22
3-5-1-13 8%0.00.332.670.972.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 32%2.7Draw 35% P 34%2.87Away 33% P 35%

Double Chance

1.4Genoa or Draw 34% P 33%1.44Genoa or Fiorentina 33% P 33%1.4Draw or Fiorentina 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 42%1.61No 58% P 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.53.0Over 32% P 32%1.4Under 68% P 68%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 56%2.0Under 46% P 44%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–35% · away 30–35% · 424 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%34%36%+2.0
Draw34%32%29%-3.3
Away35%34%35%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes42%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 30–32.5% · 151 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.532%31%31%-0.3

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.49-0.1642
Fouls / match24.525.2-0.37
Fouls per card5.65.6-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6271
Time added6.06.4-0.8617
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-02 60 251 34'5
2025-10-22 10 250 47'8
2025-10-18 60 220 65'8
2025-10-05 40 231 44'4
2025-09-30 20 151 48'4
2025-09-18 10 230 5'10
2025-08-29 40 292 6'6
2025-08-21 50 270 4'5
2025-08-12 30 220 33'6
2024-12-22 30 170 73'6