Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Inter | at home | Stat | league | away | Lazio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 50.3 #10 |
| 17.1 #1 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 11.0 #14 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 4.1 #8 |
| 6.3 #1 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.7 #17 |
| 13.1 #9 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.6 #19 |
| 1.6 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.0 #20 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.7 #18 |
| 102.7 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 89.9 #11 |
| 58.4 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 38.3 #11 |
| 547.5 #2 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 491.9 #6 |
| 1.7 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.7 #1 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.7 #12 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #20 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #19 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #3 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #12 |
| 0.4 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.1 #10 |
| – #20 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #4 |
| 2.3 #1 | 2.6 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 #12 |
| 0.9 #16 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 #13 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #4 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 8.0 #9 |
| – #20 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #8 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.5 #19 |
| 12.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 6.7 #16 |
| 6.6 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.4 #15 |
| 4.8 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #13 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #9 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Inter · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Lazio · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 11
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 71,060
Teams
- Coaches
- Cristian Chivu · Maurizio Sarri
- Position
- 3 · 9
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-3-3
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello
Weather
- Conditions
- sky is clear
- Temperature
- 12.9° (feels 11.8°)
- Wind
- 1.4
- Humidity
- 59%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 | AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 | Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 | Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 | Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 | Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 | Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 | Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Inter
WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 12.82–4.42 · xPts 11.29
- W
H
Kairat
2–1
xG 2.64–0.2
UEFA CL - W
A
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.07–0.58
ITA SA - W
H
Fiorentina
3–0
xG 2.94–1.0
ITA SA - L
A
Napoli
1–3
xG 1.82–1.39
ITA SA - W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
4–0
xG 4.36–1.25
UEFA CL
WWWWWWLWWW 9W 0D 1L · 27 pts (2.7 ppg) · GF 24 GA 7 · xG 24.73–7.34 · xPts 23.02
- W
H
Kairat
2–1
xG 2.64–0.2
UEFA CL - W
A
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.07–0.58
ITA SA - W
H
Fiorentina
3–0
xG 2.94–1.0
ITA SA - L
A
Napoli
1–3
xG 1.82–1.39
ITA SA - W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
4–0
xG 4.36–1.25
UEFA CL - W
A
Roma
1–0
xG 1.09–1.43
ITA SA - W
H
Cremonese
4–1
xG 2.72–0.63
ITA SA - W
H
Slavia Praha
3–0
xG 3.43–0.11
UEFA CL - W
A
Cagliari
2–0
xG 2.58–0.21
ITA SA - W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 2.1–0.54
ITA SA
Lazio
DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 4.59–8.13 · xPts 4.62
- W
H
Cagliari
2–0
xG 1.04–1.56
ITA SA - D
A
Pisa
0–0
xG 0.62–0.93
ITA SA - W
H
Juventus
1–0
xG 1.15–1.59
ITA SA - D
A
Atalanta
0–0
xG 0.33–2.38
ITA SA - D
H
Torino
3–3
xG 1.45–1.66
ITA SA
LWLLWDDWDW 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 11.97–14.09 · xPts 11.8
- W
H
Cagliari
2–0
xG 1.04–1.56
ITA SA - D
A
Pisa
0–0
xG 0.62–0.93
ITA SA - W
H
Juventus
1–0
xG 1.15–1.59
ITA SA - D
A
Atalanta
0–0
xG 0.33–2.38
ITA SA - D
H
Torino
3–3
xG 1.45–1.66
ITA SA - W
A
Genoa
3–0
xG 2.61–0.98
ITA SA - L
H
Roma
0–1
xG 0.66–1.44
ITA SA - L
A
Sassuolo
0–1
xG 0.8–1.18
ITA SA - W
H
Hellas Verona
4–0
xG 2.98–0.8
ITA SA - L
A
Como
0–2
xG 0.34–1.57
ITA SA
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 78–45 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 23–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–3 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Lazio 0–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 2–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lazio 0–6 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 1–1 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lazio 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 3–1 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lazio 3–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–1 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lazio 3–1 Inter neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Inter all · 38 | Inter at home · 19 | Lazio all · 38 | Lazio away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.37 | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 6 / 5 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 14 / 12 / 12 | 6 / 6 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 2.34 | 2.63 | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.84 | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 42% | 40% | 47% |
| Failed to score | 5% | 5% | 45% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% | 29% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 63% | 32% | 16% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.94 | 2.24 | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| xG against / match | 0.90 | 0.77 | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| xG difference | 1.04 | 1.47 | -0.19 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.40 | 0.39 | -0.09 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 84% | 90% | 42% | 37% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.47 | 2.50 | 2.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 33% | 12% |
| Leads held | 77% | 78% | 70% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 52% | 53% | 21% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 40% | 54% | 62% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 7% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 29 | 42 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 56 | 35 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 62% | 61% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 56% | 52% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 50% | 51% |
| Shots | 17.1 | 18.2 | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| On target | 6.0 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 75% | 61% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 18% | 7% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 23.0 | 24.9 | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.1 | 70.3 | 45.0 | 41.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 13.2 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.37 | 2.29 | 2.11 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
Lazio
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Lazio · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 38 100% | 2.29 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 1.94 | 0.9 |
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 36 95% | 1.39 | 0.97 | 1.03 | 1.12 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.32 |
| Metric | Inter all · 10 | Inter at home · 10 | Lazio all · 10 | Lazio away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 60% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.26 | 2.28 | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.32 | 1.36 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 1.40 | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.23 | 1.40 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.60 | 0.38 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 67% | 40% |
| Leads held | 67% | 78% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 47% | 33% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 43% | 42% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 25% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 39 | 52 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 51 | 33 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 70% | 60% | 82% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 54% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | 63% | 46% | 50% |
| Shots | 18.9 | 19.3 | 11.7 | 11.0 |
| On target | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 62% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 13% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 21.0 | 22.9 | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.5 | 66.9 | 44.7 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% | 86% | 87% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 10.2 | 13.6 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
Lazio
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Metric | Inter all · 49 | Inter at home · 25 | Lazio all · 39 | Lazio away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.56 | 1.58 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 6 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 4 | 16 / 13 / 10 | 8 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.22 | 2.52 | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.03 | 0.68 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 32% | 41% | 53% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 8% | 38% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% | 33% | 21% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | 1.11 | 1.48 | -0.19 | -0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.19 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 72% | 46% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.44 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 1.29 | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 43% | 41% | 29% |
| Leads held | 85% | 86% | 70% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 45% | 23% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 54% | 62% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 23% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 32 | 44 | 56 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 52 | 35 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 64% | 63% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 52% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 49% | 51% |
| Shots | 18.0 | 19.2 | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 60% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 22.7 | 24.0 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.3 | 67.6 | 45.1 | 42.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.48 | 2.28 | 2.05 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
Lazio
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Lazio · 39 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.74
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.75 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.32
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 37 95% | 1.54 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.32 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 73% | 74% | 74% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | 18% | +0.9 |
| Away | 9% | 9% | 8% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%
Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Gianluca Manganiello
- Career
- 121 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.89 (3.68 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.9 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.82 | 4.49 | -0.95 | 17 |
| Fouls / match | 24.1 | 25.2 | -0.64 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.6 | +0.72 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.31 | -0.85 | 20 |
| Time added | 5.9 | 6.4 | -1.07 | 15 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 24' | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 42' | 9 |
| 2025-09-14 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 5 |
| 2025-08-24 · Lazio | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 17' | 6 |
| 2025-05-03 · Inter | 4 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 23' | 5 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 55' | 8 |
| 2025-04-13 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 12' | 2 |
| 2025-03-29 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 54' | 7 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 52' | 5 |
| 2025-03-02 · Lazio | 4 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 67' | 6 |

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