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Serie A · Matchweek 11

Momentum

JuventusTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,366

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Leonardo Colucci
Position
7 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Luca Zufferli

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

LLWWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 9.49–5.24 · xPts 9.5

  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.45–0.2 UEFA CL
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 1.87–0.61 ITA SA
  • W H Udinese 3–1 xG 3.65–0.67 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 0–1 xG 1.59–1.15 ITA SA
  • L A Real Madrid 0–1 xG 0.94–2.62 UEFA CL

Torino

DWWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.03–7.54 · xPts 6.61

  • D H Pisa 2–2 xG 1.36–1.85 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 0–0 xG 0.71–0.52 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 2–1 xG 1.62–1.63 ITA SA
  • W H Napoli 1–0 xG 1.68–2.09 ITA SA
  • D A Lazio 3–3 xG 1.66–1.45 ITA SA

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Juventus 229 draws1 Torino

Goals 53–18 · 2.22 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 55 draws0 Torino

Goals 14–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 14 draws0 Torino

Goals 5–3 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Torino 2–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 4–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.180.89
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 212 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.611.841.160.89
Goals against / match0.890.841.661.79
Clean sheets42%42%32%37%
Failed to score21%21%29%42%
Both teams scored45%47%50%37%
Over 2.540%42%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.221.07
xG against / match1.000.921.481.37
xG difference0.831.14-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.832.011.221.19
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.07-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first58%53%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.470.00
Came back from behind50%75%29%17%
Leads held83%91%71%57%
Minutes leading35%36%19%10%
Minutes level49%49%46%49%
Minutes trailing17%15%35%40%
First goal (min)35344448
First goal conceded (min)40402926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.320.37
Late goals against0.210.110.210.21
Style
Possession58%59%44%43%
Shots16.819.711.811.1
On target6.06.84.03.7
Shot conversion10%9%10%8%
Shots inside box65%64%62%59%
Big chances created2.93.22.01.6
Corners5.46.53.83.4
xG from set plays26%29%30%31%
Goals from headers24%30%23%24%
Pressure index22.525.59.17.4
Dominant minutes64.769.136.432.3
Pass accuracy86%87%79%80%
Fouls12.111.413.914.3
Cards1.451.111.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
3-1-4-22 5%0.00.04.00.612.35
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.1Draw 23% P 23%6.5Away 14% P 13%

Double Chance

1.12Juventus or Draw 42% P 44%1.22Juventus or Torino 39% P 39%2.5Draw or Torino 19% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw23%22%24%+2.1
Away13%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.48-1.972
Fouls / match23.625.1-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 50 311 16'9
2025-10-24 40 291 31'7
2025-10-04 40 290 58'5
2025-09-19 50 291 20'5
2025-09-13 10 280 87'7
2025-08-23 20 280 19'6
2025-05-18 51 380 20'8
2025-04-12 · Juventus 10 170 52'3
2025-03-08 10 150 38'7
2025-03-02 30 391 29'6