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Serie A · Matchweek 12

Momentum

CagliariGenoa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,575

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Daniele De Rossi
Position
14 · 18
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Federico La Penna

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.8° (feels 7.5°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 328

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 3.85–5.0 · xPts 5.68

  • D A Como 0–0 xG 0.82–0.87 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 0–2 xG 1.56–1.04 ITA SA
  • L H Sassuolo 1–2 xG 0.9–0.71 ITA SA
  • D A Hellas Verona 2–2 xG 0.39–1.51 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 0–2 xG 0.17–0.87 ITA SA

Genoa

DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 8.85–5.92 · xPts 8.78

  • D H Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.63–1.4 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.52–1.15 ITA SA
  • L H Cremonese 0–2 xG 1.85–1.69 ITA SA
  • L A Torino 1–2 xG 1.63–1.62 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 2.22–0.06 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2007

Cagliari 115 draws18 Genoa

Goals 44–55 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cagliari 13 draws6 Genoa

Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cagliari 03 draws2 Genoa

Goals 6–12 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Genoa 3–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 3–3 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 1–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 2–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 3–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 2–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–0 Cagliari neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 2–3 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–0 Cagliari neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Genoa all · 38Genoa away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.321.081.00
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 810 / 11 / 174 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.051.161.081.00
Goals against / match1.391.211.341.32
Clean sheets21%32%24%26%
Failed to score37%37%40%37%
Both teams scored50%37%53%58%
Over 2.550%37%53%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.961.221.18
xG against / match1.401.241.481.64
xG difference-0.38-0.28-0.26-0.46
Finishing vs xG0.030.20-0.14-0.18
xPts / match1.131.191.221.10
Points vs xPts0.000.13-0.14-0.10
Game state
Scored first29%32%40%42%
PPG when scoring first2.093.001.671.38
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.590.57
Came back from behind35%33%26%27%
Leads held65%78%56%44%
Minutes leading16%20%17%18%
Minutes level51%52%54%56%
Minutes trailing32%28%29%27%
First goal (min)49524146
First goal conceded (min)37383941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%55%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.340.32
Late goals against0.370.370.210.21
Style
Possession46%45%49%46%
Shots10.910.711.410.8
On target3.53.43.83.6
Shot conversion10%11%9%9%
Shots inside box61%63%62%65%
Big chances created1.91.92.02.2
Corners3.84.23.73.7
xG from set plays37%43%43%40%
Goals from headers30%46%10%10%
Pressure index8.59.310.68.2
Dominant minutes36.840.242.232.9
Pass accuracy80%79%80%80%
Fouls13.813.812.412.2
Cards2.241.891.761.68

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Genoa

0–15'58
16–30'58
31–45'67
46–60'410
61–75'810
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.323

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-4-22 5%0.50.51.50.981.63

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.441.671.441.131.43
3-4-2-19 24%1.110.560.891.391.33
4-2-3-17 18%0.290.431.571.111.74
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.01.01.790.87
5-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.472.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 29%2.9Draw 33% P 35%2.7Away 35% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Cagliari or Draw 32% P 32%1.4Cagliari or Genoa 33% P 33%1.36Draw or Genoa 34% P 36%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 40%1.57No 59% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.53.0Over 32% P 30%1.4Under 68% P 70%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 35–40% · 173 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%24%-4.8
Draw35%32%37%+5.0
Away36%39%39%-0.2

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 36%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes40%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 30–32.5% · 151 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.530%31%31%-0.3

Federico La Penna

Career
103 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.39 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.48+0.3561
Fouls / match26.325.1+0.78
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.31-0.1356
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 81 332 36'8
2025-10-05 · Genoa 40 310 28'6
2025-09-21 10 240 66'14
2025-08-25 20 2
2025-05-23 · Cagliari 30 280 31'9
2025-05-11 40 211 25'9
2025-04-27 20 182 49'8
2025-04-19 60 290 30'4
2025-04-06 · Cagliari 40 240 49'5
2025-02-10 70 311 31'6