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Serie A · Matchweek 12

Momentum

CremoneseRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,666

Teams

Coaches
Davide Nicola · Gian Gasperini
Position
11 · 1
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
5.5° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
0.4
Humidity
78%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.3–7.82 · xPts 5.2

  • L A Pisa 0–1 xG 0.97–1.2 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 1–2 xG 0.61–1.87 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 2–0 xG 1.69–1.85 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.05–1.92 ITA SA
  • D H Udinese 1–1 xG 0.99–0.98 ITA SA

Roma

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 8.31–7.49 · xPts 7.64

  • W H Udinese 2–0 xG 1.89–1.04 ITA SA
  • W A Rangers 2–0 xG 1.82–1.24 UEFA EL
  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 2.31–3.33 ITA SA
  • W H Parma 2–1 xG 1.01–0.91 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.28–0.97 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Cremonese 10 draws3 Roma

Goals 3–8 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Cremonese 10 draws3 Roma

Goals 3–8 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Cremonese 10 draws3 Roma

Goals 3–8 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • L Roma 3–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 1–3 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 2–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.921.63
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 923 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match0.840.951.551.37
Goals against / match1.501.530.821.11
Clean sheets29%32%47%37%
Failed to score45%37%18%21%
Both teams scored42%53%34%42%
Over 2.545%47%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.481.39
xG against / match1.591.420.991.26
xG difference-0.64-0.240.490.14
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.230.07-0.02
xPts / match1.011.251.701.50
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.400.220.13
Game state
Scored first32%37%66%58%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.380.38
Came back from behind5%0%27%20%
Leads held67%43%88%83%
Minutes leading18%17%40%39%
Minutes level48%52%44%41%
Minutes trailing34%30%16%20%
First goal (min)49513630
First goal conceded (min)37394644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.240.16
Late goals against0.240.320.260.32
Style
Possession46%47%56%55%
Shots9.110.313.211.2
On target3.33.74.74.2
Shot conversion9%9%12%12%
Shots inside box61%62%74%71%
Big chances created1.61.92.22.0
Corners3.53.65.24.6
xG from set plays34%36%31%36%
Goals from headers19%22%20%12%
Pressure index6.98.118.616.3
Dominant minutes32.836.561.955.8
Pass accuracy78%78%83%82%
Fouls13.513.413.814.8
Cards2.082.111.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 17%3.6Draw 26% P 28%1.7Away 56% P 55%

Double Chance

2.25Cremonese or Draw 21% P 22%1.25Cremonese or Roma 37% P 36%1.12Draw or Roma 42% P 42%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–20% · away 50–55% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home17%19%22%+3.0
Draw28%27%28%+0.2
Away55%54%50%-3.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Giovanni Ayroldi

Career
60 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.85 (5.47 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.084.48+2.26100
Fouls / match27.725.1+1.69
Fouls per card4.55.6-1.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.31-0.6029
Time added6.46.4-0.0442
First card
26' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.08

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 50 310 37'6
2025-10-19 40 320 10'9
2025-09-29 60 340 1'6
2025-09-14 · Roma 50 280 32'12
2025-08-23 41 340 46'7
2025-05-18 30 220 3'7
2025-04-23 42 260 22'12
2025-04-05 70 240 31'9
2025-03-15 70 370 19'4
2025-03-08 50 251 2'6