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Serie A · Matchweek 12

Momentum

NapoliAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
45,000

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Raffaele Palladino
Position
5 · 13
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
6.2° (feels 4.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Napoli

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 5.44–5.68 · xPts 6.32

  • L A Bologna 0–2 xG 0.22–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 xG 2.14–0.44 UEFA CL
  • D H Como 0–0 xG 0.67–1.27 ITA SA
  • W A Lecce 1–0 xG 1.02–1.22 ITA SA
  • W H Inter 3–1 xG 1.39–1.82 ITA SA

Atalanta

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 7.03–5.02 · xPts 8.26

  • L H Sassuolo 0–3 xG 1.36–2.06 ITA SA
  • W A Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 1.44–0.81 UEFA CL
  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 0.57–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 1.76–0.46 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 1.92–1.05 ITA SA

All meetings · 36 matches since 2007

Napoli 175 draws14 Atalanta

Goals 55–55 · 3.06 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Napoli 60 draws4 Atalanta

Goals 18–17 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Napoli 20 draws3 Atalanta

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 2–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 3–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–3 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 0–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 0–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–3 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricNapoli all · 38Napoli at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.002.261.551.37
W / D / L23 / 7 / 813 / 4 / 215 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.531.741.341.37
Goals against / match0.950.950.951.11
Clean sheets40%37%34%32%
Failed to score21%16%21%10%
Both teams scored47%58%53%63%
Over 2.553%63%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.451.711.46
xG against / match1.061.131.181.42
xG difference0.400.320.530.04
Finishing vs xG0.060.29-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.631.601.711.44
Points vs xPts0.370.66-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first55%58%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.863.002.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.931.330.560.38
Came back from behind47%67%44%38%
Leads held96%100%75%60%
Minutes leading40%40%28%22%
Minutes level40%43%51%52%
Minutes trailing20%18%21%26%
First goal (min)31354657
First goal conceded (min)37374849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%54%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.340.42
Late goals against0.180.160.240.32
Style
Possession59%59%55%54%
Shots13.213.814.812.5
On target4.75.24.64.2
Shot conversion12%12%9%11%
Shots inside box64%66%66%66%
Big chances created2.01.92.52.2
Corners5.56.35.74.5
xG from set plays29%25%25%21%
Goals from headers17%12%14%4%
Pressure index20.422.015.912.7
Dominant minutes63.664.655.449.1
Pass accuracy87%87%84%83%
Fouls11.211.111.812.3
Cards1.371.001.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 40%3.0Draw 31% P 31%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3Napoli or Draw 36% P 36%1.36Napoli or Atalanta 34% P 34%1.57Draw or Atalanta 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 48%1.72Under 54% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%42%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.4
Away28%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Marco Di Bello

Career
216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.49-0.8420
Fouls / match26.125.2+0.65
Fouls per card6.85.6+0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.31+0.5268
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.04

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 20 241 70'9
2025-10-29 50 252 3'8
2025-09-27 71 330 9'7
2025-05-25 20 261 63'5
2025-05-03 20 300 12'6
2025-04-12 10 180 69'2
2025-03-29 50 350 22'6
2025-03-09 23 6
2025-02-23 50 270 38'8
2025-02-09 20 260 55'6