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Serie A · Matchweek 12

Momentum

UdineseBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,756

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
10 · 5
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
6.2° (feels 6.2°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
48%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.41–7.57 · xPts 5.55

  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 1.04–1.89 ITA SA
  • W H Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.64–0.57 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 1–3 xG 0.67–3.65 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 3–2 xG 1.08–0.47 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 1–1 xG 0.98–0.99 ITA SA

Bologna

DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 6.38–5.31 · xPts 8.01

  • W H Napoli 2–0 xG 0.93–0.22 ITA SA
  • D H Brann 0–0 xG 1.15–0.43 UEFA EL
  • W A Parma 3–1 xG 2.96–0.35 ITA SA
  • D H Torino 0–0 xG 0.52–0.71 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 0.82–3.6 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2008

Udinese 1213 draws9 Bologna

Goals 40–37 · 2.26 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 15 draws4 Bologna

Goals 9–14 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 03 draws2 Bologna

Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Bologna 1–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 3–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 2–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.471.79
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 816 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.180.951.291.58
Goals against / match1.261.111.211.21
Clean sheets29%32%32%26%
Failed to score29%37%29%16%
Both teams scored45%37%45%58%
Over 2.545%37%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.321.21
xG against / match1.461.201.121.24
xG difference-0.32-0.050.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.19-0.030.37
xPts / match1.191.321.491.36
Points vs xPts0.12-0.11-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first45%42%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.671.00
Came back from behind27%27%30%44%
Leads held74%67%70%71%
Minutes leading26%23%26%35%
Minutes level47%50%54%50%
Minutes trailing28%26%20%15%
First goal (min)41444440
First goal conceded (min)37424646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.260.37
Late goals against0.290.210.240.32
Style
Possession46%48%55%54%
Shots11.612.812.911.1
On target3.83.93.83.8
Shot conversion10%7%10%14%
Shots inside box60%57%63%63%
Big chances created1.91.81.81.9
Corners4.54.74.53.7
xG from set plays28%33%30%27%
Goals from headers20%29%6%0%
Pressure index9.811.013.813.2
Dominant minutes41.245.454.052.2
Pass accuracy80%82%82%82%
Fouls13.613.713.113.4
Cards1.921.741.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.48

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
3-4-1-21 3%0.00.01.01.121.36

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 32%3.1Draw 31% P 32%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.61Udinese or Draw 29% P 32%1.36Udinese or Bologna 35% P 34%1.3Draw or Bologna 36% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 38%1.57Under 60% P 62%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 51%1.72Under 54% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 35–37.5% · 235 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%32%27%-4.3
Draw32%32%34%+2.2
Away37%37%39%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Juan Luca Sacchi

Career
80 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.48-0.7227
Fouls / match25.625.1+0.30
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.70 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7724
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-03 20 260 46'5
2025-04-28 40 230 50'8
2025-03-31 30 200 65'6
2025-01-19 41 210 45'6
2025-01-04 30 290 39'5
2024-11-30 30 271 44'6