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Serie A · Matchweek 13

Momentum

BolognaCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,277

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Davide Nicola
Position
5 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani

Weather

Conditions
light intensity drizzle
Temperature
5.9° (feels 3.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
94%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 2 · xG 12.08–3.81 · xPts 11.35

  • W H Salzburg 4–1 xG 4.41–1.17 UEFA EL
  • W A Udinese 3–0 xG 2.62–1.64 ITA SA
  • W H Napoli 2–0 xG 0.93–0.22 ITA SA
  • D H Brann 0–0 xG 1.15–0.43 UEFA EL
  • W A Parma 3–1 xG 2.96–0.35 ITA SA

Cremonese

DWLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.29–8.17 · xPts 4.95

  • L H Roma 1–3 xG 0.97–1.33 ITA SA
  • L A Pisa 0–1 xG 0.97–1.2 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 1–2 xG 0.61–1.87 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 2–0 xG 1.69–1.85 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.05–1.92 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2023

Bologna 21 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 9–6 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Bologna 21 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 9–6 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Bologna 21 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 9–6 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Cremonese 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 1–3 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 1–5 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.160.890.95
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 98 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.291.000.840.74
Goals against / match1.211.211.501.47
Clean sheets32%37%29%26%
Failed to score29%42%45%53%
Both teams scored45%32%42%32%
Over 2.545%37%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.430.950.73
xG against / match1.121.011.591.77
xG difference0.200.42-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.43-0.110.01
xPts / match1.491.621.010.77
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.46-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first47%37%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.253.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.050.08
Came back from behind30%18%5%8%
Leads held70%67%67%100%
Minutes leading26%16%18%18%
Minutes level54%59%48%44%
Minutes trailing20%25%34%38%
First goal (min)44514947
First goal conceded (min)46453735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.240.11
Late goals against0.240.160.240.16
Style
Possession55%56%46%46%
Shots12.914.79.17.9
On target3.83.83.32.9
Shot conversion10%7%9%9%
Shots inside box63%62%61%59%
Big chances created1.81.81.61.3
Corners4.55.23.53.4
xG from set plays30%34%34%32%
Goals from headers6%16%19%14%
Pressure index13.814.46.95.7
Dominant minutes54.055.932.829.1
Pass accuracy82%83%78%77%
Fouls13.112.713.513.7
Cards1.971.422.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 63%4.0Draw 24% P 23%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.11Bologna or Draw 42% P 43%1.22Bologna or Cremonese 38% P 39%2.37Draw or Cremonese 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw23%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Ermanno Feliciani

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.26 (3.21 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 40 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.084.49-2.010
Fouls / match23.125.2-1.28
Fouls per card7.95.6+2.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-03 40 260 36'6
2025-10-25 40 240 32'7
2025-10-04 · Cremonese 20 170 84'5
2025-09-28 40 300 12'7
2025-05-03 30 200 46'9
2025-02-08 40 210 70'6
2025-01-19 19 63'6
2025-01-05 30 180 8'6
2024-12-22 20 261 22'8