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Serie A · Matchweek 13

Momentum

PisaInter
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Capacity
10,442
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,542

Teams

Coaches
Alberto Gilardino · Cristian Chivu
Position
17 · 5
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marco Guida

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
9.7° (feels 8.4°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
78%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Pisa

DDDWD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.76–7.02 · xPts 6.82

  • D A Sassuolo 2–2 xG 1.63–2.41 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 1.2–0.97 ITA SA
  • D A Torino 2–2 xG 1.85–1.36 ITA SA
  • D H Lazio 0–0 xG 0.93–0.62 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 2–2 xG 1.14–1.66 ITA SA

Inter

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.12–3.5 · xPts 10.46

  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–2 xG 1.59–1.43 UEFA CL
  • L H AC Milan 0–1 xG 1.94–0.78 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.89–0.52 ITA SA
  • W H Kairat 2–1 xG 2.64–0.2 UEFA CL
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 1.07–0.58 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Pisa 00 draws2 Inter

Goals 2–8 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Pisa 00 draws2 Inter

Goals 2–8 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Pisa 00 draws2 Inter

Goals 2–8 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Inter 6–2 Pisa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Pisa 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricPisa all · 38Pisa at home · 19Inter all · 38Inter away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.470.532.292.21
W / D / L2 / 12 / 242 / 4 / 1327 / 6 / 513 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match0.680.472.342.05
Goals against / match1.871.370.921.00
Clean sheets13%21%47%53%
Failed to score55%63%5%5%
Both teams scored42%32%47%42%
Over 2.553%37%55%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.121.941.64
xG against / match1.561.340.901.03
xG difference-0.48-0.221.040.61
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.650.400.41
xPts / match1.111.202.001.77
Points vs xPts-0.64-0.670.290.44
Game state
Scored first26%16%84%79%
PPG when scoring first1.102.002.532.60
PPG when conceding first0.130.081.000.75
Came back from behind17%7%38%40%
Leads held18%67%77%76%
Minutes leading7%7%52%50%
Minutes level59%66%39%37%
Minutes trailing34%28%10%12%
First goal (min)39532929
First goal conceded (min)43545044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%78%58%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%69%54%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.130.050.550.47
Late goals against0.500.470.320.26
Style
Possession40%42%60%60%
Shots9.610.217.116.0
On target2.83.16.05.2
Shot conversion7%5%14%13%
Shots inside box74%74%72%68%
Big chances created1.82.13.93.0
Corners3.63.86.35.3
xG from set plays36%30%28%26%
Goals from headers19%33%23%29%
Pressure index7.57.723.021.1
Dominant minutes33.336.566.161.9
Pass accuracy76%76%87%87%
Fouls13.213.313.113.1
Cards2.212.161.682.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Pisa

0–15'57
16–30'56
31–45'217
46–60'611
61–75'311
76–90'519

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Pisa

No pressure profile yet.

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Pisa

Current: winless 9 · scoring 1 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-221 55%0.380.431.861.071.49
3-4-2-112 32%0.330.581.920.731.68
4-4-21 3%1.02.02.01.632.41
3-4-31 3%3.03.01.02.41.25
3-4-1-21 3%1.02.02.01.642.01

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

10.0Home 9% P 8%6.25Draw 15% P 15%1.25Away 75% P 77%

Double Chance

3.75Pisa or Draw 13% P 12%1.14Pisa or Inter Milan 42% P 42%1.06Draw or Inter Milan 45% P 46%

Draw No Bet

8.01 12%1.082 88%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 44%1.75No 53% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%9%7%-1.3
Draw15%15%11%-4.1
Away77%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.49-0.1642
Fouls / match24.525.2-0.37
Fouls per card5.65.6-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6271
Time added6.06.4-0.8617
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-26 40 290 23'7
2025-11-09 50 352 23'7
2025-11-02 60 251 34'5
2025-10-22 10 250 47'8
2025-10-18 · Pisa 60 220 65'8
2025-10-05 40 231 44'4
2025-09-30 20 151 48'4
2025-09-18 10 230 5'10
2025-08-29 40 292 6'6
2025-08-21 50 270 4'5