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Serie A · Matchweek 14

Momentum

VERAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Capacity
39,045
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,949

Teams

Coaches
Paolo Zanetti · Raffaele Palladino
Position
19 · 12
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
2.1° (feels 2.1°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
100%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Hellas Verona

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.58–6.14 · xPts 6.84

  • L A Genoa 1–2 xG 2.84–1.79 ITA SA
  • L H Parma 1–2 xG 0.87–1.25 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.85–0.86 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 1–2 xG 0.58–1.07 ITA SA
  • L A Como 1–3 xG 1.44–1.17 ITA SA

Atalanta

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.96–7.54 · xPts 7.69

  • W H Fiorentina 2–0 xG 2.28–1.81 ITA SA
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 xG 2.91–1.02 UEFA CL
  • L A Napoli 1–3 xG 0.97–1.84 ITA SA
  • L H Sassuolo 0–3 xG 1.36–2.06 ITA SA
  • W A Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 1.44–0.81 UEFA CL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2013

Hellas Verona 74 draws11 Atalanta

Goals 23–41 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hellas Verona 21 draws7 Atalanta

Goals 10–23 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hellas Verona 11 draws3 Atalanta

Goals 6–15 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 3–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 0–5 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 6–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 2–2 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 3–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–2 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricHellas Verona all · 38Hellas Verona at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.550.421.551.37
W / D / L3 / 12 / 231 / 5 / 1315 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match0.660.631.341.37
Goals against / match1.611.470.951.11
Clean sheets16%16%34%32%
Failed to score53%58%21%10%
Both teams scored47%42%53%63%
Over 2.550%42%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.980.871.711.46
xG against / match1.291.061.181.42
xG difference-0.32-0.190.530.04
Finishing vs xG-0.32-0.24-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.171.221.711.44
Points vs xPts-0.62-0.80-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first18%16%50%53%
PPG when scoring first1.291.332.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.240.080.560.38
Came back from behind15%7%44%38%
Leads held38%33%75%60%
Minutes leading9%8%28%22%
Minutes level58%62%51%52%
Minutes trailing33%30%21%26%
First goal (min)41384657
First goal conceded (min)40464849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%42%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.050.000.340.42
Late goals against0.500.630.240.32
Style
Possession40%43%55%54%
Shots11.110.914.812.5
On target3.73.94.64.2
Shot conversion6%6%9%11%
Shots inside box56%54%66%66%
Big chances created1.41.22.52.2
Corners3.94.85.74.5
xG from set plays26%20%25%21%
Goals from headers4%8%14%4%
Pressure index7.49.815.912.7
Dominant minutes32.140.055.449.1
Pass accuracy74%76%84%83%
Fouls15.814.911.812.3
Cards2.552.261.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hellas Verona

0–15'18
16–30'76
31–45'710
46–60'39
61–75'59
76–90'219

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hellas Verona

No pressure profile yet.

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Hellas Verona

Current: winless 10 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.50.771.771.031.21
3-4-2-14 10%0.250.251.750.631.06
3-5-1-14 10%0.50.251.250.61.85
3-1-4-22 5%0.50.00.51.371.23
5-3-22 5%2.01.51.01.361.83

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 16%3.8Draw 25% P 26%1.66Away 57% P 58%

Double Chance

2.15Verona or Draw 22% P 21%1.25Verona or Atalanta 38% P 37%1.16Draw or Atalanta 41% P 42%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%17%18%+1.0
Draw26%24%24%-0.2
Away58%59%58%-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.48-0.2237
Fouls / match25.125.1-0.02
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-30 50 381 78'7
2025-11-25 80 180 3'8
2025-11-04 41 160 45'8
2025-10-25 30 252 43'12
2025-09-17 31 160 31'10
2025-08-30 · Atalanta 40 230 75'5
2025-08-26 10 310 101'5
2025-05-08 30 180 26'5
2025-04-27 30 180 44'6
2025-04-15 20 251 35'6