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Serie A · Matchweek 14

Momentum

NapoliJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
53,000

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Luciano Spalletti
Position
3 · 7
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Federico La Penna

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.3° (feels 8.3°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
39%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Napoli

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 8.5–3.39 · xPts 9.67

  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.09–0.44 ITA SA
  • W H Qarabağ 2–0 xG 3.2–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W H Atalanta 3–1 xG 1.84–0.97 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–2 xG 0.22–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 xG 2.14–0.44 UEFA CL

Juventus

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.52–4.79 · xPts 9.96

  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 1.43–0.82 ITA SA
  • W A Bodø / Glimt 3–2 xG 3.71–2.04 UEFA CL
  • D A Fiorentina 1–1 xG 1.49–0.86 ITA SA
  • D H Torino 0–0 xG 1.44–0.86 ITA SA
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.45–0.2 UEFA CL

All meetings · 38 matches since 2007

Napoli 166 draws16 Juventus

Goals 53–55 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Napoli 62 draws2 Juventus

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Napoli 31 draws1 Juventus

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Juventus 3–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 1–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 5–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricNapoli all · 38Napoli at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.002.261.821.68
W / D / L23 / 7 / 813 / 4 / 219 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.531.741.611.37
Goals against / match0.950.950.890.95
Clean sheets40%37%42%42%
Failed to score21%16%21%21%
Both teams scored47%58%45%42%
Over 2.553%63%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.451.831.59
xG against / match1.061.131.001.08
xG difference0.400.320.830.51
Finishing vs xG0.060.29-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.631.601.831.65
Points vs xPts0.370.66-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first55%58%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.863.002.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.931.330.620.17
Came back from behind47%67%50%17%
Leads held96%100%83%75%
Minutes leading40%40%35%33%
Minutes level40%43%49%48%
Minutes trailing20%18%17%18%
First goal (min)31353537
First goal conceded (min)37374039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%54%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.340.21
Late goals against0.180.160.210.32
Style
Possession59%59%58%56%
Shots13.213.816.813.9
On target4.75.26.05.1
Shot conversion12%12%10%10%
Shots inside box64%66%65%66%
Big chances created2.01.92.92.7
Corners5.56.35.44.4
xG from set plays29%25%26%22%
Goals from headers17%12%24%15%
Pressure index20.422.022.519.4
Dominant minutes63.664.664.760.3
Pass accuracy87%87%86%85%
Fouls11.211.112.112.9
Cards1.371.001.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 36%2.75Draw 34% P 34%3.1Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Napoli or Draw 34% P 35%1.4Napoli or Juventus 33% P 33%1.44Draw or Juventus 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.53.0Over 32% P 33%1.4Under 68% P 67%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–40% · away 25–30% · 367 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%39%35%-3.7
Draw34%32%37%+4.3
Away29%29%28%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 32.5–35% · 400 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.533%34%31%-3.0

Federico La Penna

Career
103 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.39 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.48+0.3561
Fouls / match26.325.1+0.78
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.31-0.1356
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 71 380 9'6
2025-10-26 81 332 36'8
2025-10-05 · Napoli 40 310 28'6
2025-09-21 10 240 66'14
2025-08-25 20 2
2025-05-23 · Napoli 30 280 31'9
2025-05-11 40 211 25'9
2025-04-27 20 182 49'8
2025-04-19 · Napoli 60 290 30'4
2025-04-06 40 240 49'5