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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Momentum

AtalantaCagliari
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,695

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Fabio Pisacane
Position
13 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Davide Di Marco

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
6.9° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
75%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 10.1–7.26 · xPts 8.51

  • W H Chelsea 2–1 xG 2.15–1.23 UEFA CL
  • L A Hellas Verona 1–3 xG 1.78–1.37 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 2–0 xG 2.28–1.81 ITA SA
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 xG 2.91–1.02 UEFA CL
  • L A Napoli 1–3 xG 0.97–1.84 ITA SA

Cagliari

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.54–5.05 · xPts 7.14

  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 1.26–0.61 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 1–2 xG 0.82–1.43 ITA SA
  • D H Genoa 3–3 xG 1.07–1.11 ITA SA
  • D A Como 0–0 xG 0.82–0.87 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 0–2 xG 1.56–1.04 ITA SA

All meetings · 35 matches since 2006

Atalanta 165 draws14 Cagliari

Goals 42–42 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 51 draws4 Cagliari

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 21 draws2 Cagliari

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Cagliari all · 38Cagliari away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.130.95
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 411 / 10 / 174 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.341.321.050.95
Goals against / match0.950.791.391.58
Clean sheets34%37%21%10%
Failed to score21%32%37%37%
Both teams scored53%42%50%63%
Over 2.537%37%50%63%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.951.021.08
xG against / match1.180.931.401.56
xG difference0.531.01-0.38-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.630.03-0.13
xPts / match1.711.991.131.08
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.250.00-0.13
Game state
Scored first50%47%29%26%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.091.00
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.710.92
Came back from behind44%50%35%36%
Leads held75%90%65%50%
Minutes leading28%33%16%12%
Minutes level51%51%51%50%
Minutes trailing21%16%32%37%
First goal (min)46314945
First goal conceded (min)48483736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%60%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%58%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.210.16
Late goals against0.240.160.370.37
Style
Possession55%56%46%46%
Shots14.817.110.911.1
On target4.65.13.53.5
Shot conversion9%8%10%8%
Shots inside box66%66%61%60%
Big chances created2.53.01.91.8
Corners5.76.83.83.4
xG from set plays25%28%37%31%
Goals from headers14%24%30%11%
Pressure index15.919.28.57.7
Dominant minutes55.461.736.833.5
Pass accuracy84%85%80%81%
Fouls11.811.413.813.7
Cards1.681.262.242.58

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-4-22 5%0.50.51.50.981.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 70% P 71%5.0Draw 19% P 19%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Atalanta or Draw 44% P 45%1.16Atalanta or Cagliari 41% P 41%3.25Draw or Cagliari 15% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 43%1.7No 55% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.25Over 41% P 42%1.57Under 59% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw19%18%15%-2.5
Away10%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Davide Di Marco

No career statistics.

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.0 cards, 21.9 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-24 30 201 24'7