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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Momentum

BolognaJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,911

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Luciano Spalletti
Position
5 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Davide Massa

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
4.3° (feels 2.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
89%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 13.39–5.85 · xPts 10.86

  • W A Celta de Vigo 2–1 xG 1.85–0.27 UEFA EL
  • D A Lazio 1–1 xG 1.42–1.24 ITA SA
  • L H Cremonese 1–3 xG 3.1–1.54 ITA SA
  • W H Salzburg 4–1 xG 4.41–1.17 UEFA EL
  • W A Udinese 3–0 xG 2.62–1.64 ITA SA

Juventus

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 9.29–6.65 · xPts 8.26

  • W H Pafos FC 2–0 xG 2.25–1.4 UEFA CL
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 0.41–1.52 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 1.43–0.82 ITA SA
  • W A Bodø / Glimt 3–2 xG 3.71–2.04 UEFA CL
  • D A Fiorentina 1–1 xG 1.49–0.86 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2008

Bologna 111 draws22 Juventus

Goals 23–62 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 06 draws4 Juventus

Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 03 draws2 Juventus

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Juventus 2–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 2–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 3–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 0–2 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.821.68
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 919 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.291.001.611.37
Goals against / match1.211.210.890.95
Clean sheets32%37%42%42%
Failed to score29%42%21%21%
Both teams scored45%32%45%42%
Over 2.545%37%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.831.59
xG against / match1.121.011.001.08
xG difference0.200.420.830.51
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.43-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.491.621.831.65
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.46-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first47%37%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.620.17
Came back from behind30%18%50%17%
Leads held70%67%83%75%
Minutes leading26%16%35%33%
Minutes level54%59%49%48%
Minutes trailing20%25%17%18%
First goal (min)44513537
First goal conceded (min)46454039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.340.21
Late goals against0.240.160.210.32
Style
Possession55%56%58%56%
Shots12.914.716.813.9
On target3.83.86.05.1
Shot conversion10%7%10%10%
Shots inside box63%62%65%66%
Big chances created1.81.82.92.7
Corners4.55.25.44.4
xG from set plays30%34%26%22%
Goals from headers6%16%24%15%
Pressure index13.814.422.519.4
Dominant minutes54.055.964.760.3
Pass accuracy82%83%86%85%
Fouls13.112.712.112.9
Cards1.971.421.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.66Bologna or Draw 29% P 29%1.36Bologna or Juventus 35% P 35%1.3Draw or Juventus 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%31%+2.1
Draw30%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Davide Massa

Career
316 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.24.49+1.0188
Fouls / match26.825.2+1.11
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-0.9712
Time added6.46.4-0.0444
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 30 210 27'8
2025-11-30 70 270 54'8
2025-11-25 11 292 52'9
2025-10-30 40 280 41'5
2025-10-21 30 240 33'5
2025-10-18 70 470 4'6
2025-10-02 30 291 30'9
2025-09-14 30 280 13'6
2025-08-28 20 270 33'3
2025-08-23 50 290 22'5