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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Momentum

GenoaInter
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Capacity
33,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,670

Teams

Coaches
Daniele De Rossi · Cristian Chivu
Position
16 · 3
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Daniele Doveri

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
11.7° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Genoa

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 7.47–7.92 · xPts 6.76

  • W A Udinese 2–1 xG 1.42–1.46 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 1.79–2.84 ITA SA
  • D A Cagliari 3–3 xG 1.11–1.07 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.63–1.4 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.52–1.15 ITA SA

Inter

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.96–6.55 · xPts 7.75

  • L H Liverpool 0–1 xG 0.63–1.42 UEFA CL
  • W H Como 4–0 xG 1.79–1.12 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 2–0 xG 2.01–1.8 ITA SA
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–2 xG 1.59–1.43 UEFA CL
  • L H AC Milan 0–1 xG 1.94–0.78 ITA SA

All meetings · 36 matches since 2007

Genoa 58 draws23 Inter

Goals 23–71 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 31% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Genoa 03 draws7 Inter

Goals 5–19 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Genoa 01 draws4 Inter

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Inter 2–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 1–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 2–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 2–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 0–0 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 4–0 Genoa neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 3–0 Genoa neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 0–2 Inter neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricGenoa all · 38Genoa at home · 19Inter all · 38Inter away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.081.162.292.21
W / D / L10 / 11 / 176 / 4 / 927 / 6 / 513 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match1.081.162.342.05
Goals against / match1.341.370.921.00
Clean sheets24%21%47%53%
Failed to score40%42%5%5%
Both teams scored53%47%47%42%
Over 2.553%58%55%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.261.941.64
xG against / match1.481.310.901.03
xG difference-0.26-0.051.040.61
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.100.400.41
xPts / match1.221.342.001.77
Points vs xPts-0.14-0.180.290.44
Game state
Scored first40%37%84%79%
PPG when scoring first1.672.002.532.60
PPG when conceding first0.590.601.000.75
Came back from behind26%25%38%40%
Leads held56%67%77%76%
Minutes leading17%16%52%50%
Minutes level54%53%39%37%
Minutes trailing29%30%10%12%
First goal (min)41352929
First goal conceded (min)39375044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%64%58%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%54%54%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.370.550.47
Late goals against0.210.210.320.26
Style
Possession49%51%60%60%
Shots11.412.117.116.0
On target3.83.96.05.2
Shot conversion9%10%14%13%
Shots inside box62%59%72%68%
Big chances created2.01.93.93.0
Corners3.73.66.35.3
xG from set plays43%46%28%26%
Goals from headers10%10%23%29%
Pressure index10.613.123.021.1
Dominant minutes42.251.566.161.9
Pass accuracy80%79%87%87%
Fouls12.412.613.113.1
Cards1.761.841.682.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Genoa

0–15'58
16–30'58
31–45'67
46–60'410
61–75'810
76–90'138

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.313

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.441.671.441.131.43
3-4-2-19 24%1.110.560.891.391.33
4-2-3-17 18%0.290.431.571.111.74
4-3-2-11 3%0.01.02.01.551.79
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.00.891.36

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 14% P 13%4.2Draw 23% P 22%1.48Away 64% P 65%

Double Chance

2.62Genoa or Draw 18% P 18%1.2Genoa or Inter Milan 39% P 39%1.1Draw or Inter Milan 43% P 43%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 44%1.75No 53% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.25Over 41% P 40%1.57Under 59% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%13%-0.7
Draw22%20%21%+1.1
Away65%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Daniele Doveri

Career
267 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.49-1.1310
Fouls / match24.925.2-0.16
Fouls per card7.05.6+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7627
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
41' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-08 41 221 41'6
2025-11-22 60 290 7'10
2025-11-02 · Inter 30 200 41'9
2025-10-28 40 170 9'7
2025-10-04 30 320 82'11
2025-09-20 20 160 30'5
2025-08-30 70 320 2'6
2025-05-25 61 390 19'8
2025-05-18 42 290 16'13
2025-05-04 40 250 48'8