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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Momentum

UdineseNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,502

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Antonio Conte
Position
12 · 2
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
9.4° (feels 9.4°)
Wind
0.8
Humidity
63%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.24–7.42 · xPts 6.22

  • L H Genoa 1–2 xG 1.46–1.42 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 2–0 xG 1.46–0.92 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 0–3 xG 1.64–2.62 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 1.04–1.89 ITA SA
  • W H Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.64–0.57 ITA SA

Napoli

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.46–4.2 · xPts 9.48

  • L A Benfica 0–2 xG 0.81–1.76 UEFA CL
  • W H Juventus 2–1 xG 1.52–0.41 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.09–0.44 ITA SA
  • W H Qarabağ 2–0 xG 3.2–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W H Atalanta 3–1 xG 1.84–0.97 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2007

Udinese 611 draws21 Napoli

Goals 41–75 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 13 draws6 Napoli

Goals 9–20 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 12 draws2 Napoli

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Napoli 1–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 1–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–3 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 4–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Napoli neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 3–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–4 Napoli neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.212.001.74
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 823 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.180.951.531.32
Goals against / match1.261.110.950.95
Clean sheets29%32%40%42%
Failed to score29%37%21%26%
Both teams scored45%37%47%37%
Over 2.545%37%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.471.48
xG against / match1.461.201.060.99
xG difference-0.32-0.050.400.49
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.190.06-0.17
xPts / match1.191.321.631.66
Points vs xPts0.12-0.110.370.08
Game state
Scored first45%42%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.930.63
Came back from behind27%27%47%33%
Leads held74%67%96%91%
Minutes leading26%23%40%40%
Minutes level47%50%40%38%
Minutes trailing28%26%20%22%
First goal (min)41443126
First goal conceded (min)37423736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.260.21
Late goals against0.290.210.180.21
Style
Possession46%48%59%59%
Shots11.612.813.212.6
On target3.83.94.74.2
Shot conversion10%7%12%10%
Shots inside box60%57%64%62%
Big chances created1.91.82.02.0
Corners4.54.75.54.7
xG from set plays28%33%29%33%
Goals from headers20%29%17%24%
Pressure index9.811.020.418.8
Dominant minutes41.245.463.662.6
Pass accuracy80%82%87%86%
Fouls13.613.711.211.3
Cards1.921.741.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
5-4-11 3%3.03.00.01.52.38

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 20%3.4Draw 28% P 29%1.9Away 50% P 51%

Double Chance

1.9Udinese or Draw 25% P 25%1.3Udinese or Napoli 36% P 36%1.2Draw or Napoli 39% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%22%15%-7.0
Draw29%27%27%+0.4
Away51%51%58%+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.484.49-0.0249
Fouls / match25.725.2+0.40
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.31+1.2485
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.42

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 60 300 8'7
2025-11-23 30 161 45'8
2025-11-05 50 160 41'7
2025-10-29 31 271 49'5
2025-10-19 71 271 28'8
2025-09-27 31 130 32'7
2025-09-21 21 360 83'10
2025-09-18 40 201 10'7
2025-08-28 15 38'5
2025-08-24 60 320 43'10