Rating 7.55 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 17 (27% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.27 ppg with (30) · 2.38 without (8)
Serie A · Matchweek 16
Momentum
– InterLecce –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Inter | at home | Stat | league | away | Lecce |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 41.6 #18 |
| 17.1 #1 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 9.8 #18 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 2.6 #20 |
| 6.3 #1 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #10 |
| 13.1 #9 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.6 #11 |
| 1.6 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #18 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 17.8 #2 |
| 102.7 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 92.2 #9 |
| 58.4 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 39.4 #9 |
| 547.5 #2 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 321.2 #20 |
| 1.7 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.9 #9 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 1.7 #1 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.6 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #18 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #19 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #14 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.9 #20 |
| 0.4 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #13 |
| – #20 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #3 |
| 2.3 #1 | 2.6 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 #17 |
| 0.9 #16 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 #7 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #13 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.0 #16 |
| – #20 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #20 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #18 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.1 #13 |
| 12.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 5.7 #19 |
| 6.6 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.1 #19 |
| 4.8 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.1 #15 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Inter · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.31 (100th pct) · G+A 17 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 2.33 ppg with (27) · 2.18 without (11)
Rating 7.16 (89th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 2.19 ppg with (31) · 2.71 without (7)
Lecce · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 6.87 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (40th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.19 ppg with (31) · 0.14 without (7)
Rating 7.17 (90th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (18% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (12) · 0.85 without (26)
Absences
Lecce
- injury Balthazar Pierret midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 4 missed · until 2026-01-30
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 16
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 69,321
Teams
- Coaches
- Cristian Chivu · Eusebio Di Francesco
- Position
- 1 · 17
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Fabio Maresca
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 5.8° (feels 4.9°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 86%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Inter
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 9.68–3.61 · xPts 10.57
- D
H
Napoli
2–2
xG 1.58–1.08
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
2–0
xG 2.89–0.49
ITA SA
- W
H
Bologna
3–1
xG 2.71–0.84
ITA SA
- W
A
Atalanta
1–0
xG 1.08–0.81
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.41–0.4
ITA SA
LLWWLWWWWD 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 17 GA 8 · xG 17.64–10.16 · xPts 18.32
- D
H
Napoli
2–2
xG 1.58–1.08
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
2–0
xG 2.89–0.49
ITA SA
- W
H
Bologna
3–1
xG 2.71–0.84
ITA SA
- W
A
Atalanta
1–0
xG 1.08–0.81
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.41–0.4
ITA SA
- L
H
Liverpool
0–1
xG 0.63–1.42
UEFA CL - W
H
Como
4–0
xG 1.79–1.12
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–0
xG 2.01–1.8
ITA SA
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
1–2
xG 1.59–1.43
UEFA CL - L
H
AC Milan
0–1
xG 1.94–0.78
ITA SA
Lecce
WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 4.37–8.08 · xPts 4.83
- L
H
Parma
1–2
xG 0.76–1.37
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.5–1.15
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.27–2.94
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
0–3
xG 0.69–2.23
ITA SA
- W
H
Pisa
1–0
xG 2.15–0.38
ITA SA
WDLWLWLDLL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 8.69–15.47 · xPts 9.55
- L
H
Parma
1–2
xG 0.76–1.37
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.5–1.15
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.27–2.94
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
0–3
xG 0.69–2.23
ITA SA
- W
H
Pisa
1–0
xG 2.15–0.38
ITA SA
- L
A
Cremonese
0–2
xG 1.17–1.93
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 0.86–1.73
ITA SA
- L
A
Lazio
0–2
xG 0.5–1.61
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
0–0
xG 0.86–0.85
ITA SA
- W
A
Fiorentina
1–0
xG 0.92–1.27
ITA SA
All meetings · 18 matches since 2005
Goals 39–5 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 22% · over 2.5 39%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 24–2 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–0 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Lecce 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lecce 0–4 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lecce 0–4 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–0 Lecce neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lecce 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lecce 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 4–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Inter all · 38 | Inter at home · 19 | Lecce all · 38 | Lecce away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.37 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 6 / 5 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 10 / 8 / 20 | 5 / 3 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 2.34 | 2.63 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.84 | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 42% | 26% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 5% | 5% | 50% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% | 37% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 63% | 37% | 32% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.94 | 2.24 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| xG against / match | 0.90 | 0.77 | 1.53 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | 1.04 | 1.47 | -0.64 | -0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.40 | 0.39 | -0.15 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.22 | 1.01 | 0.81 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | 0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 84% | 90% | 42% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.47 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 9% | 0% |
| Leads held | 77% | 78% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 52% | 53% | 20% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 40% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 7% | 28% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 29 | 32 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 56 | 42 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 62% | 43% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 56% | 64% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 42% | 39% |
| Shots | 17.1 | 18.2 | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| On target | 6.0 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 75% | 58% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 18% | 29% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 23.0 | 24.9 | 7.2 | 5.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.1 | 70.3 | 34.3 | 28.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 74% | 73% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 13.2 | 12.6 | 13.3 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.37 | 1.87 | 1.84 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112
Lecce
0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Lecce · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563
Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 38 100% | 2.29 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 1.94 | 0.9 |
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 22 58% | 1.14 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-3 | 13 34% | 0.77 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 0.73 | 1.65 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
| Metric | Inter all · 10 | Inter at home · 10 | Lecce all · 10 | Lecce away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.70 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.26 | 2.28 | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 1.40 | -0.55 | -0.66 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.42 | -0.02 | 0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.23 | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.43 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 67% | 78% | 100% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 47% | 34% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 43% | 35% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 31% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 51 | 23 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 70% | 50% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | 63% | 40% | 38% |
| Shots | 18.9 | 19.3 | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| On target | 6.5 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 66% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 33% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 33% | 46% |
| Pressure index | 21.0 | 22.9 | 8.3 | 7.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.5 | 66.9 | 38.3 | 31.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% | 74% | 72% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 10.2 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Lecce
0–15'42
16–30'26
31–45'00
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'22
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 2.62 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
| Metric | Inter all · 49 | Inter at home · 25 | Lecce all · 39 | Lecce away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 6 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 4 | 12 / 7 / 20 | 6 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 2.22 | 2.52 | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 32% | 26% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 8% | 49% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% | 36% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% | 38% | 26% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.33 | 0.95 | 0.80 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.62 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | 1.11 | 1.48 | -0.67 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.19 | -0.13 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 72% | 46% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.11 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 1.29 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 43% | 9% | 0% |
| Leads held | 85% | 86% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 45% | 23% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 29% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 52 | 38 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 64% | 41% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 57% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 41% | 39% |
| Shots | 18.0 | 19.2 | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 58% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 36% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 13% | 34% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 22.7 | 24.0 | 7.4 | 6.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.3 | 67.6 | 34.0 | 28.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 74% | 73% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.9 | 12.8 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.48 | 1.95 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Lecce
0–15'103
16–30'614
31–45'35
46–60'38
61–75'412
76–90'69
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Lecce · 39 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2039
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0739
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3717
Game state
When ahead-0.2518
When level-0.1339
When behind-0.2921
10 min after conceding-0.3728
10 min after scoring+0.1120
Situations
With ten men-0.282
At home-0.1820
Away-0.2219
3 days rest or fewer-0.543
4+ days rest-0.1736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.1711
v bottom-tier opponents-0.363
Evenly matched-0.0314
As underdog-0.3124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4439
Conceded when ahead+0.3718
Conceded late (76+)+0.2835
Congested vs rested -0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.16
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 23 59% | 1.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| 4-3-3 | 12 31% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.89 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.18Home 81% P 83%8.0Draw 12% P 12%13.0Away 7% P 5%
Double Chance
1.03Inter Milan or Draw 46% P 47%1.08Inter Milan or Lecce 44% P 44%5.0Draw or Lecce 10% P 9%
Draw No Bet
1.041 93%13.02 7%
Both Teams To Score
2.5Yes 38% P 40%1.5No 62% P 60%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 2.5–5% · 162 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 83% | 84% | 87% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 12% | 11% | 6% | -5.9 |
| Away | 5% | 5% | 7% | +2.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 65%
Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 39% | 41% | +2.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Fabio Maresca
- Career
- 165 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.39 | 4.49 | +1.28 | 93 |
| Fouls / match | 25.5 | 25.2 | +0.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.7 | 5.6 | -1.10 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.31 | -0.32 | 44 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.4 | +1.61 | 95 |
- First card
- 31' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.29
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-12-27 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6' | 6 |
| 2025-12-08 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 66' | 7 |
| 2025-05-11 · Lecce | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 15' | 8 |
| 2025-04-28 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2025-04-12 | 8 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 10' | 4 |
| 2025-03-14 · Lecce | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 29' | 7 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 90' | 7 |
| 2025-02-24 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 58' | 3 |