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Serie A · Matchweek 16

Momentum

LazioCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
37,000

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Davide Nicola
Position
8 · 11
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Luca Pairetto

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
77%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.48–6.72 · xPts 6.07

  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 1.27–1.58 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 1–1 xG 1.24–1.42 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 0.84–1.33 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 1.61–0.5 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–2 xG 0.52–1.89 ITA SA

Cremonese

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.08–8.52 · xPts 5.44

  • L A Torino 0–1 xG 0.67–1.73 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 1.93–1.17 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 3–1 xG 1.54–3.1 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 1–3 xG 0.97–1.33 ITA SA
  • L A Pisa 0–1 xG 0.97–1.2 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Lazio 31 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 9–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Lazio 31 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 9–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Lazio 31 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 9–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Cremonese 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 3–2 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 0–4 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.580.890.95
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 58 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.081.420.840.74
Goals against / match1.051.321.501.47
Clean sheets40%32%29%26%
Failed to score45%32%45%53%
Both teams scored29%42%42%32%
Over 2.532%47%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.310.950.73
xG against / match1.361.421.591.77
xG difference-0.19-0.12-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG-0.090.12-0.110.01
xPts / match1.231.281.010.77
Points vs xPts0.190.30-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first42%47%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.502.562.253.00
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.050.08
Came back from behind33%50%5%8%
Leads held70%67%67%100%
Minutes leading21%28%18%18%
Minutes level54%45%48%44%
Minutes trailing25%27%34%38%
First goal (min)42364947
First goal conceded (min)35283735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.240.11
Late goals against0.180.260.240.16
Style
Possession50%50%46%46%
Shots11.012.29.17.9
On target4.14.73.32.9
Shot conversion10%12%9%9%
Shots inside box61%61%61%59%
Big chances created1.91.91.61.3
Corners3.74.63.53.4
xG from set plays30%30%34%32%
Goals from headers7%11%19%14%
Pressure index12.214.66.95.7
Dominant minutes45.049.032.829.1
Pass accuracy86%86%78%77%
Fouls10.610.913.513.7
Cards2.292.472.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 62%3.9Draw 24% P 24%7.0Away 14% P 14%

Double Chance

1.11Lazio or Draw 42% P 43%1.25Lazio or Cremonese 37% P 38%2.3Draw or Cremonese 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 45%1.8No 52% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw24%24%24%-0.3
Away14%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Luca Pairetto

Career
158 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.98 (4.66 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
27.0 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.45
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.94.49+0.5868
Fouls / match25.525.2+0.29
Fouls per card5.35.6-0.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.31+1.6993
Time added6.26.4-0.4520
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 50 301 7'8
2025-11-23 70 300 8'8
2025-11-06 30 160 55'5
2025-10-30 80 410 12'8
2025-07-31 51 290 17'3
2025-07-24 60 230 3'9
2025-05-18 20 160 4'8
2025-05-04 30 190 51'4
2025-04-19 20 220 12'2
2025-03-02 91 240 12'5