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Serie A · Matchweek 17

Momentum

CremoneseNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,236

Teams

Coaches
Davide Nicola · Antonio Conte
Position
11 · 4
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.3° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
74%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 5.64–7.67 · xPts 5.7

  • D A Lazio 0–0 xG 0.53–0.35 ITA SA
  • L A Torino 0–1 xG 0.67–1.73 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 1.93–1.17 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 3–1 xG 1.54–3.1 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 1–3 xG 0.97–1.33 ITA SA

Napoli

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 7.63–4.55 · xPts 8.66

  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 1.02–1.32 ITA SA
  • L A Benfica 0–2 xG 0.81–1.76 UEFA CL
  • W H Juventus 2–1 xG 1.52–0.41 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.09–0.44 ITA SA
  • W H Qarabağ 2–0 xG 3.2–0.62 UEFA CL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Cremonese 00 draws4 Napoli

Goals 1–13 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Cremonese 00 draws4 Napoli

Goals 1–13 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Cremonese 00 draws4 Napoli

Goals 1–13 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • L Napoli 4–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 0–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 3–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 1–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.842.001.74
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 923 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match0.840.951.531.32
Goals against / match1.501.530.950.95
Clean sheets29%32%40%42%
Failed to score45%37%21%26%
Both teams scored42%53%47%37%
Over 2.545%47%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.471.48
xG against / match1.591.421.060.99
xG difference-0.64-0.240.400.49
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.230.06-0.17
xPts / match1.011.251.631.66
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.400.370.08
Game state
Scored first32%37%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.930.63
Came back from behind5%0%47%33%
Leads held67%43%96%91%
Minutes leading18%17%40%40%
Minutes level48%52%40%38%
Minutes trailing34%30%20%22%
First goal (min)49513126
First goal conceded (min)37393736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.260.21
Late goals against0.240.320.180.21
Style
Possession46%47%59%59%
Shots9.110.313.212.6
On target3.33.74.74.2
Shot conversion9%9%12%10%
Shots inside box61%62%64%62%
Big chances created1.61.92.02.0
Corners3.53.65.54.7
xG from set plays34%36%29%33%
Goals from headers19%22%17%24%
Pressure index6.98.120.418.8
Dominant minutes32.836.563.662.6
Pass accuracy78%78%87%86%
Fouls13.513.411.211.3
Cards2.082.111.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24
5-3-21 3%0.01.04.00.632.72

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 14%3.6Draw 26% P 25%1.6Away 59% P 61%

Double Chance

2.3Cremonese or Draw 20% P 20%1.25Cremonese or Napoli 38% P 37%1.12Draw or Napoli 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 43%1.7No 55% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 60–65% · 334 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%14%+0.1
Draw25%23%22%-0.9
Away61%63%64%+0.8

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.49-0.2337
Fouls / match25.125.2-0.03
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 41 180 7'8
2025-12-06 30 211 45'9
2025-11-30 50 381 78'7
2025-11-25 80 180 3'8
2025-11-04 41 160 45'8
2025-10-25 · Napoli 30 252 43'12
2025-09-17 31 160 31'10
2025-08-30 40 230 75'5
2025-08-26 10 310 101'5
2025-05-08 30 180 26'5