Rating 7.08 (82th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
Serie A · Matchweek 17
Momentum
– ParmaFiorentina –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Parma | at home | Stat | league | away | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.0 #9 |
| 10.7 #16 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 12.9 #9 |
| 2.7 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 3.4 #16 |
| 3.8 #13 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 10.8 #18 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.4 #12 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| 14.0 #16 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.3 #19 |
| 81.8 #18 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 89.4 #12 |
| 37.0 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 39.0 #10 |
| 361.6 #17 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 423.6 #10 |
| 1.6 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| 0.0 #13 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.6 #15 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #1 |
| 0.9 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.4 #8 |
| -0.2 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #17 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #10 |
| 0.7 #17 | 0.8 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 #12 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 #7 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 7.1 #14 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.4 #12 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #16 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 6.7 #15 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.6 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.8 #4 |
| 5.9 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 8.1 #9 |
| 4.4 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #6 |
| 4.7 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #6 |
| – #13 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Parma · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 6.84 (48th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.82 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 0.78 without (9)
Fiorentina · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.2 (91th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (30) · 0.88 without (8)
Rating 6.91 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (56th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 17
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
- Capacity
- 27,906
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 20,658
Teams
- Coaches
- Carlos Antón Cuesta · Paolo Vanoli
- Position
- 17 · 20
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 8.9° (feels 6.3°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 76%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Parma
DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.32–7.2 · xPts 6.3
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 1.58–1.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
1–0
xG 1.17–1.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
0–2
xG 0.92–1.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.25–0.87
ITA SA
- D
H
AC Milan
2–2
xG 1.41–1.83
ITA SA
LDDLLDWLWL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 8.99–14.69 · xPts 10.52
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 1.58–1.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
1–0
xG 1.17–1.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
0–2
xG 0.92–1.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.25–0.87
ITA SA
- D
H
AC Milan
2–2
xG 1.41–1.83
ITA SA
- L
H
Bologna
1–3
xG 0.35–2.96
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.91–1.01
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
0–0
xG 0.68–0.68
ITA SA
- D
A
Genoa
0–0
xG 0.06–2.22
ITA SA
- L
H
Lecce
0–1
xG 0.68–0.62
ITA SA
Fiorentina
LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.39–5.32 · xPts 9.15
- W
H
Udinese
5–1
xG 2.5–0.76
ITA SA
- L
A
Lausanne Sport
0–1
xG 0.97–1.71
UEFA ECL - L
H
Hellas Verona
1–2
xG 1.61–1.11
ITA SA
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–1
xG 2.98–0.57
UEFA ECL - L
A
Sassuolo
1–3
xG 1.33–1.17
ITA SA
LDDLLLWLLW 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 16 · xG 16.9–13.73 · xPts 15.42
- W
H
Udinese
5–1
xG 2.5–0.76
ITA SA
- L
A
Lausanne Sport
0–1
xG 0.97–1.71
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Hellas Verona
1–2
xG 1.61–1.11
ITA SA
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–1
xG 2.98–0.57
UEFA ECL
- L
A
Sassuolo
1–3
xG 1.33–1.17
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.81–2.28
ITA SA
- L
H
AEK Athens
0–1
xG 1.24–1.55
UEFA ECL - D
H
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.86–1.49
ITA SA
- D
A
Genoa
2–2
xG 1.4–1.63
ITA SA
- L
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–2
xG 2.19–1.46
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 28 matches since 2005
Goals 29–42 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 43%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–7 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- D Fiorentina 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Parma 1–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 3–3 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Parma 0–0 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Parma 1–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 0–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Parma all · 38 | Parma at home · 19 | Fiorentina all · 38 | Fiorentina away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.18 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 12 / 15 | 5 / 6 / 8 | 9 / 15 / 14 | 5 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.74 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Clean sheets | 34% | 26% | 26% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 37% | 29% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 47% | 58% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 32% | 50% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.89 | 0.92 | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | -0.66 | -0.61 | -0.08 | -0.60 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.08 | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.06 | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | 0.04 | -0.23 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 34% | 37% | 45% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.29 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 27% | 30% | 20% |
| Leads held | 73% | 62% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 12% | 21% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 63% | 63% | 53% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 47 | 46 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 42 | 44 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 69% | 58% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 60% | 60% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 12.4 | 12.9 | 10.1 |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 56% | 63% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 37% | 32% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 36% | 31% | 10% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.8 | 43.4 | 47.7 | 40.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 10.9 | 12.4 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 1.97 | 2.11 | 2.29 | 2.42 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013
Fiorentina
0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Parma · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523
Game state
When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484
Behind vs level +0.02
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 19 50% | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 16% | 1.83 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.01 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.06 | 2.38 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.24 | 1.14 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 15 40% | 1.8 | 1.27 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| 3-5-2 | 8 21% | 0.38 | 1.0 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 1.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 1.22 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Parma all · 10 | Parma at home · 10 | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 0.97 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.68 | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.90 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | -0.52 | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.23 | 0.03 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 0.92 | 1.13 | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.14 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 75% | 60% | 40% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 7% | 13% | 25% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 68% | 66% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 21% | 24% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 68 | 51 | 36 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 47 | 45 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 100% | 80% | 44% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 59% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 48% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 9.4 | 12.8 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 7% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 54% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 36% | 11% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 20% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.6 | 49.6 | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 10.7 | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Parma
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'31
61–75'01
76–90'46
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.89 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.22 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 1.64 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| Metric | Parma all · 39 | Parma at home · 20 | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.05 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 12 / 16 | 5 / 6 / 9 | 17 / 13 / 21 | 9 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 0.74 | 0.80 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 25% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 41% | 40% | 29% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 45% | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 30% | 61% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.88 | 0.94 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.55 | 1.51 | 1.40 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | -0.67 | -0.57 | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.14 | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.09 | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | -0.04 | -0.19 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | 35% | 43% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.29 | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 25% | 32% | 25% |
| Leads held | 73% | 62% | 59% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 12% | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 63% | 63% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 25% | 26% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 45 | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 43 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 69% | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 58% | 61% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 10.5 | 12.4 | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 6% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 57% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 38% | 31% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 31% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 11.0 | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 43.4 | 48.6 | 40.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 10.8 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.92 | 2.00 | 2.39 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'35
31–45'36
46–60'57
61–75'49
76–90'1013
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Parma · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: with ten men -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1438
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0838
Late push (76+, level)-0.3820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3314
Game state
When ahead-0.1513
When level-0.1338
When behind-0.1521
10 min after conceding-0.3625
10 min after scoring+0.0721
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.185
At home-0.1519
Away-0.1319
4+ days rest-0.1337
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3212
v mid-tier opponents-0.0510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.065
As favourite+0.054
Evenly matched+0.099
As underdog-0.2525
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3638
Conceded when ahead+0.3013
Conceded late (76+)+0.2935
Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.01
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 18 46% | 1.39 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 1.57 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.7Home 26% P 26%3.3Draw 29% P 30%2.1Away 45% P 45%
Double Chance
1.7Parma or Draw 27% P 28%1.33Parma or Fiorentina 35% P 35%1.25Draw or Fiorentina 37% P 37%
Draw No Bet
2.621 35%1.442 65%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
4.51.72Over 54% P 55%2.0Under 46% P 45%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 27% | 26% | -0.8 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 32% | +2.9 |
| Away | 45% | 44% | 42% | -2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.38 | 4.49 | -0.16 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 25.2 | -0.37 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.6 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.31 | +0.62 | 71 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.86 | 17 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 26' | 6 |
| 2025-11-26 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-11-09 · Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-11-02 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 34' | 5 |
| 2025-10-22 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 47' | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 65' | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 44' | 4 |
| 2025-09-30 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 48' | 4 |
| 2025-09-18 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5' | 10 |
| 2025-08-29 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 6' | 6 |