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Serie A · Matchweek 18

Momentum

JuventusLecce
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
40,639

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · F. Del Rosso
Position
5 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Giuseppe Collu

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 7.6–6.34 · xPts 7.57

  • W A Pisa 2–0 xG 1.28–1.11 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 2–1 xG 2.2–1.51 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 1.47–0.8 ITA SA
  • W H Pafos FC 2–0 xG 2.25–1.4 UEFA CL
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 0.41–1.52 ITA SA

Lecce

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 5.38–7.89 · xPts 5.28

  • L H Como 0–3 xG 0.69–2.23 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 1–0 xG 2.15–0.38 ITA SA
  • L A Cremonese 0–2 xG 1.17–1.93 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 0.86–1.73 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 0–2 xG 0.5–1.61 ITA SA

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Juventus 125 draws1 Lecce

Goals 33–12 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 73 draws0 Lecce

Goals 17–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 32 draws0 Lecce

Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Lecce 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 2–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 2–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 4–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Lecce all · 38Lecce away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.000.95
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 210 / 8 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.611.840.740.79
Goals against / match0.890.841.321.37
Clean sheets42%42%26%26%
Failed to score21%21%50%47%
Both teams scored45%47%37%37%
Over 2.540%42%37%32%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.060.890.71
xG against / match1.000.921.531.68
xG difference0.831.14-0.64-0.97
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.150.08
xPts / match1.832.011.010.81
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.07-0.010.14
Game state
Scored first58%53%42%42%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.060.00
Came back from behind50%75%9%0%
Leads held83%91%62%62%
Minutes leading35%36%20%17%
Minutes level49%49%53%55%
Minutes trailing17%15%28%28%
First goal (min)35343239
First goal conceded (min)40404242
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%43%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%64%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.160.21
Late goals against0.210.110.240.37
Style
Possession58%59%42%39%
Shots16.819.79.89.0
On target6.06.82.62.3
Shot conversion10%9%8%9%
Shots inside box65%64%58%54%
Big chances created2.93.21.31.2
Corners5.46.54.34.4
xG from set plays26%29%33%25%
Goals from headers24%30%29%27%
Pressure index22.525.57.25.7
Dominant minutes64.769.134.328.1
Pass accuracy86%87%74%73%
Fouls12.111.412.613.3
Cards1.451.111.871.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 77% P 77%5.75Draw 16% P 16%15.0Away 6% P 7%

Double Chance

1.03Juventus or Draw 46% P 46%1.14Juventus or Lecce 42% P 42%4.0Draw or Lecce 12% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.041 93%13.02 7%

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35% P 34%1.44No 65% P 66%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–80% · away 5–10% · 1,139 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home77%77%78%+1.0
Draw16%15%15%-0.1
Away7%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 30–40% · 559 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes34%37%40%+2.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Giuseppe Collu

Career
22 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.27 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.49-0.1939
Fouls / match24.725.2-0.27
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7822
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
32' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 70 220 26'6
2025-11-09 30 271 28'8
2025-10-28 · Lecce 30 241 26'9
2025-10-19 40 150 29'6
2025-09-29 60 221 16'8
2025-09-20 60 271 8'10
2025-08-30 30 240 32'6
2025-08-23 50 240 48'5
2025-05-05 60 260 21'7
2025-04-23 40 250 38'5