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Serie A · Matchweek 18

Momentum

LazioNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
45,000

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Antonio Conte
Position
9 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Davide Massa

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
3.2
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 345

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 4.45–5.79 · xPts 5.65

  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 0.75–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.35–0.53 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 1.27–1.58 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 1–1 xG 1.24–1.42 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 0.84–1.33 ITA SA

Napoli

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 7.28–4.48 · xPts 8.61

  • W A Cremonese 2–0 xG 2.85–0.55 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 1.02–1.32 ITA SA
  • L A Benfica 0–2 xG 0.81–1.76 UEFA CL
  • W H Juventus 2–1 xG 1.52–0.41 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.09–0.44 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2008

Lazio 118 draws19 Napoli

Goals 45–69 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lazio 42 draws4 Napoli

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lazio 22 draws1 Napoli

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Napoli 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 0–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 2–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 4–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.582.001.74
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 523 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.081.421.531.32
Goals against / match1.051.320.950.95
Clean sheets40%32%40%42%
Failed to score45%32%21%26%
Both teams scored29%42%47%37%
Over 2.532%47%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.471.48
xG against / match1.361.421.060.99
xG difference-0.19-0.120.400.49
Finishing vs xG-0.090.120.06-0.17
xPts / match1.231.281.631.66
Points vs xPts0.190.300.370.08
Game state
Scored first42%47%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.502.562.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.930.63
Came back from behind33%50%47%33%
Leads held70%67%96%91%
Minutes leading21%28%40%40%
Minutes level54%45%40%38%
Minutes trailing25%27%20%22%
First goal (min)42363126
First goal conceded (min)35283736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.260.21
Late goals against0.180.260.180.21
Style
Possession50%50%59%59%
Shots11.012.213.212.6
On target4.14.74.74.2
Shot conversion10%12%12%10%
Shots inside box61%61%64%62%
Big chances created1.91.92.02.0
Corners3.74.65.54.7
xG from set plays30%30%29%33%
Goals from headers7%11%17%24%
Pressure index12.214.620.418.8
Dominant minutes45.049.063.662.6
Pass accuracy86%86%87%86%
Fouls10.610.911.211.3
Cards2.292.471.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 24%3.0Draw 31% P 31%2.15Away 44% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Lazio or Draw 28% P 28%1.36Lazio or Napoli 34% P 34%1.25Draw or Napoli 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 37%1.5Under 64% P 63%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–30% · away 40–50% · 3,119 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%27%26%-1.1
Draw31%28%28%-0.4
Away44%45%47%+1.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Davide Massa

Career
316 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.24.49+1.0188
Fouls / match26.825.2+1.11
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-0.9712
Time added6.46.4-0.0444
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 41 210 19'6
2025-12-09 30 210 27'8
2025-11-30 · Napoli 70 270 54'8
2025-11-25 11 292 52'9
2025-10-30 · Lazio 40 280 41'5
2025-10-21 30 240 33'5
2025-10-18 70 470 4'6
2025-10-02 30 291 30'9
2025-09-14 30 280 13'6
2025-08-28 20 270 33'3