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Serie A · Matchweek 18

Momentum

SassuoloParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,701

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
9 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.2° (feels 4.2°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 328

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 4.8–6.61 · xPts 5.51

  • D A Bologna 1–1 xG 1.03–0.95 ITA SA
  • L H Torino 0–1 xG 0.62–1.65 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 2–2 xG 1.2–1.29 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 3–1 xG 1.17–1.33 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–2 xG 0.78–1.4 ITA SA

Parma

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.05–6.82 · xPts 6.33

  • W H Fiorentina 1–0 xG 1.14–1.45 ITA SA
  • L H Lazio 0–1 xG 1.58–1.27 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 1–0 xG 1.17–1.76 ITA SA
  • L H Udinese 0–2 xG 0.92–1.46 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 1.25–0.87 ITA SA

All meetings · 12 matches since 2013

Sassuolo 33 draws6 Parma

Goals 14–14 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sassuolo 33 draws4 Parma

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 12 draws2 Parma

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Parma 1–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 1–3 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 1–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 4–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 1–3 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19Parma all · 38Parma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.531.181.26
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 811 / 12 / 156 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.211.320.740.63
Goals against / match1.321.371.211.11
Clean sheets21%21%34%42%
Failed to score32%32%42%47%
Both teams scored53%47%40%32%
Over 2.555%58%29%26%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.160.890.86
xG against / match1.441.371.561.59
xG difference-0.29-0.20-0.66-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.060.15-0.15-0.23
xPts / match1.201.241.010.96
Points vs xPts0.090.280.170.31
Game state
Scored first37%42%34%32%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.462.67
PPG when conceding first0.550.640.370.44
Came back from behind29%27%25%22%
Leads held82%90%73%86%
Minutes leading22%30%13%14%
Minutes level47%39%63%63%
Minutes trailing31%31%24%23%
First goal (min)38264849
First goal conceded (min)32284139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%64%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%63%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.260.21
Late goals against0.320.260.340.37
Style
Possession46%47%44%42%
Shots10.710.710.79.0
On target3.73.72.72.5
Shot conversion11%12%7%7%
Shots inside box66%66%56%56%
Big chances created2.12.11.61.7
Corners3.83.83.83.5
xG from set plays29%25%40%43%
Goals from headers9%8%36%42%
Pressure index9.010.69.17.5
Dominant minutes38.642.637.832.6
Pass accuracy82%82%80%80%
Fouls12.011.810.810.8
Cards2.372.321.971.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.205
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level+0.195
When behind+0.262
10 min after conceding-0.425
10 min after scoring+0.175

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
Evenly matched+0.382
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.055
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.07

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.494

Behind vs level +0.02

Sassuolo

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 46%3.3Draw 29% P 30%4.2Away 23% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Sassuolo or Draw 39% P 38%1.33Sassuolo or Parma 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Parma 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw30%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Ermanno Feliciani

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.26 (3.21 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 40 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.084.48-2.000
Fouls / match23.125.1-1.29
Fouls per card7.95.6+2.06 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-15 60 240 52'8
2025-12-01 20 251 25'7
2025-11-03 · Sassuolo 40 260 36'6
2025-10-25 40 240 32'7
2025-10-04 20 170 84'5
2025-09-28 40 300 12'7
2025-05-03 30 200 46'9
2025-02-08 40 210 70'6
2025-01-19 19 63'6
2025-01-05 · Parma 30 180 8'6