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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Momentum

BolognaAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,454

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Raffaele Palladino
Position
7 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
-0.8° (feels -3.4°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 328

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.86–6.71 · xPts 6.55

  • L A Inter 1–3 xG 0.84–2.71 ITA SA
  • D H Sassuolo 1–1 xG 0.95–1.03 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 0.8–1.47 ITA SA
  • W A Celta de Vigo 2–1 xG 1.85–0.27 UEFA EL
  • D A Lazio 1–1 xG 1.42–1.24 ITA SA

Atalanta

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 9.96–4.4 · xPts 10.23

  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.8 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.81–1.08 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 1–0 xG 2.2–0.69 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 2.5–0.59 ITA SA
  • W H Chelsea 2–1 xG 2.15–1.23 UEFA CL

All meetings · 33 matches since 2008

Bologna 96 draws18 Atalanta

Goals 30–47 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 41 draws5 Atalanta

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 11 draws3 Atalanta

Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 0–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 2–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 1–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.551.37
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 915 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.291.001.341.37
Goals against / match1.211.210.951.11
Clean sheets32%37%34%32%
Failed to score29%42%21%10%
Both teams scored45%32%53%63%
Over 2.545%37%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.711.46
xG against / match1.121.011.181.42
xG difference0.200.420.530.04
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.43-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.491.621.711.44
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.46-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first47%37%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.560.38
Came back from behind30%18%44%38%
Leads held70%67%75%60%
Minutes leading26%16%28%22%
Minutes level54%59%51%52%
Minutes trailing20%25%21%26%
First goal (min)44514657
First goal conceded (min)46454849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.340.42
Late goals against0.240.160.240.32
Style
Possession55%56%55%54%
Shots12.914.714.812.5
On target3.83.84.64.2
Shot conversion10%7%9%11%
Shots inside box63%62%66%66%
Big chances created1.81.82.52.2
Corners4.55.25.74.5
xG from set plays30%34%25%21%
Goals from headers6%16%14%4%
Pressure index13.814.415.912.7
Dominant minutes54.055.955.449.1
Pass accuracy82%83%84%83%
Fouls13.112.711.812.3
Cards1.971.421.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 30%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Bologna or Draw 30% P 30%1.33Bologna or Atalanta 35% P 35%1.36Draw or Atalanta 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%31%31%-0.2
Draw29%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Marco Di Bello

Career
216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.49-0.8420
Fouls / match26.125.2+0.65
Fouls per card6.85.6+0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.31+0.5268
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.04

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 10 260 50'5
2025-12-06 30 290 44'5
2025-11-22 · Atalanta 30 230 59'6
2025-11-08 20 241 70'9
2025-10-29 50 252 3'8
2025-09-27 71 330 9'7
2025-05-25 20 261 63'5
2025-05-03 20 300 12'6
2025-04-12 10 180 69'2
2025-03-29 · Bologna 50 350 22'6