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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Momentum

LazioFiorentina
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
35,000

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Paolo Vanoli
Position
9 · 20
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
3.0° (feels -1.0°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
72%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.06–6.38 · xPts 5.09

  • L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.45–1.92 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 0.75–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.35–0.53 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 1.27–1.58 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 1–1 xG 1.24–1.42 ITA SA

Fiorentina

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 8.91–5.46 · xPts 8.97

  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 2.38–0.74 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 0–1 xG 1.45–1.14 ITA SA
  • W H Udinese 5–1 xG 2.5–0.76 ITA SA
  • L A Lausanne Sport 0–1 xG 0.97–1.71 UEFA ECL
  • L H Hellas Verona 1–2 xG 1.61–1.11 ITA SA

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Lazio 217 draws14 Fiorentina

Goals 59–42 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lazio 42 draws4 Fiorentina

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lazio 01 draws4 Fiorentina

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 0–4 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 0–3 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Fiorentina all · 38Fiorentina away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.581.111.11
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 59 / 15 / 145 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.081.421.081.05
Goals against / match1.051.321.321.53
Clean sheets40%32%26%21%
Failed to score45%32%29%37%
Both teams scored29%42%58%53%
Over 2.532%47%50%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.361.12
xG against / match1.361.421.431.72
xG difference-0.19-0.12-0.08-0.60
Finishing vs xG-0.090.12-0.28-0.07
xPts / match1.231.281.331.03
Points vs xPts0.190.30-0.230.07
Game state
Scored first42%47%45%47%
PPG when scoring first2.502.561.821.89
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.380.25
Came back from behind33%50%30%20%
Leads held70%67%45%46%
Minutes leading21%28%21%20%
Minutes level54%45%53%56%
Minutes trailing25%27%26%24%
First goal (min)42364640
First goal conceded (min)35284448
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%58%55%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%60%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.180.16
Late goals against0.180.260.320.37
Style
Possession50%50%51%50%
Shots11.012.212.910.1
On target4.14.73.42.8
Shot conversion10%12%8%10%
Shots inside box61%61%63%64%
Big chances created1.91.92.21.8
Corners3.74.64.43.4
xG from set plays30%30%32%39%
Goals from headers7%11%10%5%
Pressure index12.214.613.18.9
Dominant minutes45.049.047.740.7
Pass accuracy86%86%84%83%
Fouls10.610.912.412.9
Cards2.292.472.292.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Fiorentina

0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-315 40%1.81.270.931.151.44
3-5-28 21%0.381.01.881.711.41
3-5-1-13 8%0.00.332.670.972.24
3-4-2-13 8%0.670.671.01.061.22
4-1-4-13 8%0.670.671.01.421.41

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.0Draw 32% P 31%3.5Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Lazio or Draw 36% P 36%1.36Lazio or Fiorentina 34% P 34%1.57Draw or Fiorentina 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

5.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.4
Away28%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.484.48-0.0149
Fouls / match25.725.1+0.41
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.31+1.2485
Time added6.36.4-0.2527
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.42

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 50 270 21'6
2025-12-14 10 250 33'6
2025-11-27 60 300 8'7
2025-11-23 30 161 45'8
2025-11-05 50 160 41'7
2025-10-29 · Fiorentina 31 271 49'5
2025-10-19 71 271 28'8
2025-09-27 31 130 32'7
2025-09-21 · Lazio 21 360 83'10
2025-09-18 40 201 10'7