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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Momentum

SassuoloJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,488

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Luciano Spalletti
Position
11 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Luca Zufferli

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
0.5° (feels -2.1°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

WDLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.04–6.52 · xPts 5.76

  • D H Parma 1–1 xG 1.02–1.3 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 1–1 xG 1.03–0.95 ITA SA
  • L H Torino 0–1 xG 0.62–1.65 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 2–2 xG 1.2–1.29 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 3–1 xG 1.17–1.33 ITA SA

Juventus

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 10.14–5.1 · xPts 9.82

  • D H Lecce 1–1 xG 2.94–0.27 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 2–0 xG 1.28–1.11 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 2–1 xG 2.2–1.51 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 1.47–0.8 ITA SA
  • W H Pafos FC 2–0 xG 2.25–1.4 UEFA CL

All meetings · 25 matches since 2013

Sassuolo 54 draws16 Juventus

Goals 25–58 · 3.32 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 72%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sassuolo 41 draws5 Juventus

Goals 13–20 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 21 draws2 Juventus

Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.531.821.68
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 819 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.211.321.611.37
Goals against / match1.321.370.890.95
Clean sheets21%21%42%42%
Failed to score32%32%21%21%
Both teams scored53%47%45%42%
Over 2.555%58%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.161.831.59
xG against / match1.441.371.001.08
xG difference-0.29-0.200.830.51
Finishing vs xG0.060.15-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.201.241.831.65
Points vs xPts0.090.28-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first37%42%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.640.620.17
Came back from behind29%27%50%17%
Leads held82%90%83%75%
Minutes leading22%30%35%33%
Minutes level47%39%49%48%
Minutes trailing31%31%17%18%
First goal (min)38263537
First goal conceded (min)32284039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.340.21
Late goals against0.320.260.210.32
Style
Possession46%47%58%56%
Shots10.710.716.813.9
On target3.73.76.05.1
Shot conversion11%12%10%10%
Shots inside box66%66%65%66%
Big chances created2.12.12.92.7
Corners3.83.85.44.4
xG from set plays29%25%26%22%
Goals from headers9%8%24%15%
Pressure index9.010.622.519.4
Dominant minutes38.642.664.760.3
Pass accuracy82%82%86%85%
Fouls12.011.812.112.9
Cards2.372.321.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 17%3.7Draw 25% P 26%1.66Away 57% P 57%

Double Chance

2.15Sassuolo or Draw 22% P 21%1.28Sassuolo or Juventus 37% P 37%1.16Draw or Juventus 41% P 42%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 46%1.9Under 50% P 54%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–20% · away 55–60% · 957 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home17%18%17%-1.4
Draw26%24%22%-1.9
Away57%58%61%+3.3

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.49-1.982
Fouls / match23.625.2-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 31 340 52'6
2025-11-08 · Juventus 10 130 64'7
2025-11-01 50 311 16'9
2025-10-24 40 291 31'7
2025-10-04 40 290 58'5
2025-09-19 50 291 20'5
2025-09-13 10 280 87'7
2025-08-23 20 280 19'6
2025-05-18 51 380 20'8
2025-04-12 · Juventus 10 170 52'3