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Serie A · Matchweek 20

Momentum

AtalantaTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,918

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Marco Baroni
Position
7 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Francesco Fourneau

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.6° (feels 0.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
49%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 8.92–4.62 · xPts 9.4

  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.11–1.45 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.8 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.81–1.08 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 1–0 xG 2.2–0.69 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 2.5–0.59 ITA SA

Torino

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.27–4.73 · xPts 8.96

  • L H Udinese 1–2 xG 1.12–2.37 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 3–0 xG 1.23–0.24 ITA SA
  • L H Cagliari 1–2 xG 1.54–0.83 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.65–0.62 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 1.73–0.67 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2006

Atalanta 138 draws13 Torino

Goals 57–48 · 3.09 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 62 draws2 Torino

Goals 21–13 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 31 draws1 Torino

Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Atalanta 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 3–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 4–4 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.180.89
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 412 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.341.321.160.89
Goals against / match0.950.791.661.79
Clean sheets34%37%32%37%
Failed to score21%32%29%42%
Both teams scored53%42%50%37%
Over 2.537%37%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.951.221.07
xG against / match1.180.931.481.37
xG difference0.531.01-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.63-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.711.991.221.19
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.25-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first50%47%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.470.00
Came back from behind44%50%29%17%
Leads held75%90%71%57%
Minutes leading28%33%19%10%
Minutes level51%51%46%49%
Minutes trailing21%16%35%40%
First goal (min)46314448
First goal conceded (min)48482926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.320.37
Late goals against0.240.160.210.21
Style
Possession55%56%44%43%
Shots14.817.111.811.1
On target4.65.14.03.7
Shot conversion9%8%10%8%
Shots inside box66%66%62%59%
Big chances created2.53.02.01.6
Corners5.76.83.83.4
xG from set plays25%28%30%31%
Goals from headers14%24%23%24%
Pressure index15.919.29.17.4
Dominant minutes55.461.736.432.3
Pass accuracy84%85%79%80%
Fouls11.811.413.914.3
Cards1.681.261.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
5-3-22 5%2.00.50.01.191.3
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 60% P 60%3.8Draw 25% P 25%6.25Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.12Atalanta or Draw 42% P 43%1.25Atalanta or Torino 37% P 37%2.25Draw or Torino 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 48%1.7No 55% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.72Under 55% P 52%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.1Over 44% P 40%1.66Under 56% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw25%24%24%-0.3
Away14%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Francesco Fourneau

Career
67 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.06 (4.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.49+0.0351
Fouls / match26.125.2+0.64
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3942
Time added5.86.4-1.2710
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 50 351 52'7
2025-10-03 50 261 34'9
2025-09-28 60 261 29'5
2025-09-13 40 330 23'11
2025-05-10 40 240 18'10
2025-03-30 40 280 12'6
2025-03-08 · Torino 60 310 13'6
2025-02-15 70 290 11'6
2025-02-09 20 300 61'10
2025-01-19 50 292 18'7