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Serie A · Matchweek 20

Momentum

VERLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Capacity
39,045
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,029

Teams

Coaches
Paolo Zanetti · Maurizio Sarri
Position
18 · 10
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Marco Guida

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.1° (feels 2.1°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 336

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Hellas Verona

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 4.96–8.4 · xPts 4.59

  • D A Napoli 2–2 xG 1.82–1.41 ITA SA
  • L H Torino 0–3 xG 0.24–1.23 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 0–3 xG 0.43–2.36 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.11–1.61 ITA SA
  • W H Atalanta 3–1 xG 1.37–1.78 ITA SA

Lazio

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.4–6.37 · xPts 5.91

  • D H Fiorentina 2–2 xG 2.58–1.41 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.45–1.92 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 0.75–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.35–0.53 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 1–0 xG 1.27–1.58 ITA SA

All meetings · 22 matches since 2013

Hellas Verona 36 draws13 Lazio

Goals 24–45 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hellas Verona 13 draws6 Lazio

Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hellas Verona 00 draws5 Lazio

Goals 1–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Hellas Verona 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 4–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 0–3 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Hellas Verona 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Hellas Verona 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 3–3 Hellas Verona neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 4–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricHellas Verona all · 38Hellas Verona at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.550.421.421.26
W / D / L3 / 12 / 231 / 5 / 1314 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match0.660.631.080.74
Goals against / match1.611.471.050.79
Clean sheets16%16%40%47%
Failed to score53%58%45%58%
Both teams scored47%42%29%16%
Over 2.550%42%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.980.871.171.04
xG against / match1.291.061.361.30
xG difference-0.32-0.19-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.32-0.24-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.171.221.231.18
Points vs xPts-0.62-0.800.190.08
Game state
Scored first18%16%42%37%
PPG when scoring first1.291.332.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.240.080.530.38
Came back from behind15%7%33%12%
Leads held38%33%70%75%
Minutes leading9%8%21%15%
Minutes level58%62%54%62%
Minutes trailing33%30%25%23%
First goal (min)41384253
First goal conceded (min)40463544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%42%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.050.000.390.26
Late goals against0.500.630.180.11
Style
Possession40%43%50%51%
Shots11.110.911.09.8
On target3.73.94.13.5
Shot conversion6%6%10%8%
Shots inside box56%54%61%61%
Big chances created1.41.21.91.9
Corners3.94.83.72.9
xG from set plays26%20%30%30%
Goals from headers4%8%7%0%
Pressure index7.49.812.29.8
Dominant minutes32.140.045.041.0
Pass accuracy74%76%86%86%
Fouls15.814.910.610.3
Cards2.552.262.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hellas Verona

0–15'18
16–30'76
31–45'710
46–60'39
61–75'59
76–90'219

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hellas Verona

No pressure profile yet.

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Hellas Verona

Current: winless 10 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.50.771.771.031.21
3-5-1-14 10%0.50.251.250.61.85
3-4-2-14 10%0.250.251.750.631.06
5-3-22 5%2.01.51.01.361.83
3-1-4-22 5%0.50.00.51.371.23

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 26%2.8Draw 34% P 33%2.37Away 40% P 41%

Double Chance

1.53Verona or Draw 30% P 30%1.4Verona or Lazio 33% P 34%1.28Draw or Lazio 36% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 41%1.61No 58% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.53.0Over 32% P 32%1.4Under 68% P 68%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
5.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 40–45% · 1,381 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%28%26%-1.7
Draw33%29%28%-1.1
Away41%43%46%+2.8

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 30–32.5% · 151 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.532%31%31%-0.3

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.48-0.1542
Fouls / match24.525.1-0.37
Fouls per card5.65.6-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6171
Time added6.06.4-0.8617
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-04 60 410 29'6
2025-12-27 40 250 20'6
2025-11-30 30 280 26'6
2025-11-26 40 290 23'7
2025-11-09 50 352 23'7
2025-11-02 60 251 34'5
2025-10-22 10 250 47'8
2025-10-18 · Hellas Verona 60 220 65'8
2025-10-05 40 231 44'4
2025-09-30 20 151 48'4