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Serie A · Matchweek 20

Momentum

JuventusCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,585

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Davide Nicola
Position
5 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 9.8–3.98 · xPts 10.42

  • W A Sassuolo 3–0 xG 1.91–0.29 ITA SA
  • D H Lecce 1–1 xG 2.94–0.27 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 2–0 xG 1.28–1.11 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 2–1 xG 2.2–1.51 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 1.47–0.8 ITA SA

Cremonese

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 4.02–9.39 · xPts 3.86

  • D H Cagliari 2–2 xG 1.52–2.09 ITA SA
  • L A Fiorentina 0–1 xG 0.74–2.38 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.55–2.85 ITA SA
  • D A Lazio 0–0 xG 0.53–0.35 ITA SA
  • L A Torino 0–1 xG 0.67–1.73 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2023

Juventus 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 10–1 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Juventus 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 10–1 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Juventus 40 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 10–1 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Juventus 5–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 1–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 2–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.950.890.95
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 28 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.611.840.840.74
Goals against / match0.890.841.501.47
Clean sheets42%42%29%26%
Failed to score21%21%45%53%
Both teams scored45%47%42%32%
Over 2.540%42%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.060.950.73
xG against / match1.000.921.591.77
xG difference0.831.14-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.110.01
xPts / match1.832.011.010.77
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.07-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first58%53%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.253.00
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.050.08
Came back from behind50%75%5%8%
Leads held83%91%67%100%
Minutes leading35%36%18%18%
Minutes level49%49%48%44%
Minutes trailing17%15%34%38%
First goal (min)35344947
First goal conceded (min)40403735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.240.11
Late goals against0.210.110.240.16
Style
Possession58%59%46%46%
Shots16.819.79.17.9
On target6.06.83.32.9
Shot conversion10%9%9%9%
Shots inside box65%64%61%59%
Big chances created2.93.21.61.3
Corners5.46.53.53.4
xG from set plays26%29%34%32%
Goals from headers24%30%19%14%
Pressure index22.525.56.95.7
Dominant minutes64.769.132.829.1
Pass accuracy86%87%78%77%
Fouls12.111.413.513.7
Cards1.451.112.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 76% P 77%6.0Draw 16% P 15%11.0Away 9% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05Juventus or Draw 45% P 46%1.12Juventus or Cremonese 42% P 43%3.75Draw or Cremonese 13% P 11%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 41%1.57No 59% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
3.52.25Over 41% P 38%1.57Under 59% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home77%76%77%+0.9
Draw15%15%15%-0.5
Away8%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Ermanno Feliciani

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.26 (3.21 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 40 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.084.49-2.010
Fouls / match23.125.2-1.28
Fouls per card7.95.6+2.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-03 30 190 59'5
2025-12-15 60 240 52'8
2025-12-01 · Cremonese 20 251 25'7
2025-11-03 40 260 36'6
2025-10-25 40 240 32'7
2025-10-04 · Cremonese 20 170 84'5
2025-09-28 40 300 12'7
2025-05-03 30 200 46'9
2025-02-08 40 210 70'6
2025-01-19 19 63'6