Rating 6.87 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Serie A · Matchweek 20
Momentum
– LecceParma –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Lecce | at home | Stat | league | away | Parma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.6 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.0 #17 |
| 9.8 #18 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 10.7 #16 |
| 2.6 #20 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 2.7 #19 |
| 4.3 #10 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #13 |
| 12.6 #11 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| 1.2 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 17.8 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.0 #16 |
| 92.2 #9 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 81.8 #18 |
| 39.4 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 37.0 #13 |
| 321.2 #20 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 361.6 #17 |
| 1.9 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #18 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #13 |
| 0.6 #16 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| – #18 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #17 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #8 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #3 |
| 0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.9 #19 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #14 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #6 |
| 0.7 #17 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 #17 |
| 1.3 #7 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 #11 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 7.0 #16 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.1 #14 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #10 |
| 0.0 #20 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #16 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 3.1 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.6 #8 |
| 5.7 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 5.9 #18 |
| 4.1 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.4 #14 |
| 4.1 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.7 #8 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lecce · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 6.81 (40th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.19 ppg with (31) · 0.14 without (7)
Rating 7.17 (90th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (18% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (12) · 0.85 without (26)
Parma · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.08 (82th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
Rating 6.84 (48th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.82 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 0.78 without (9)
Absences
Lecce
- injury Balthazar Pierret midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 4 missed · until 2026-01-30
- injury Francesco Camarda attacker · Shoulder Injury · 14 missed · until 2026-04-21
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 20
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
- Capacity
- 40,800
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,587
Teams
- Coaches
- Eusebio Di Francesco · Carlos Antón Cuesta
- Position
- 16 · 15
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Livio Marinelli
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 11.0° (feels 9.4°)
- Wind
- 8.8
- Humidity
- 50%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Lecce
LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 4.79–8.63 · xPts 4.84
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.5–1.15
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.27–2.94
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
0–3
xG 0.69–2.23
ITA SA
- W
H
Pisa
1–0
xG 2.15–0.38
ITA SA
- L
A
Cremonese
0–2
xG 1.17–1.93
ITA SA
LWDLWLWLDL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 9.16–15.12 · xPts 10.16
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.5–1.15
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.27–2.94
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
0–3
xG 0.69–2.23
ITA SA
- W
H
Pisa
1–0
xG 2.15–0.38
ITA SA
- L
A
Cremonese
0–2
xG 1.17–1.93
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 0.86–1.73
ITA SA
- L
A
Lazio
0–2
xG 0.5–1.61
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
0–0
xG 0.86–0.85
ITA SA
- W
A
Fiorentina
1–0
xG 0.92–1.27
ITA SA
- L
H
Napoli
0–1
xG 1.22–1.02
ITA SA
Parma
WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 5.68–8.4 · xPts 5.51
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.49–2.89
ITA SA
- D
A
Sassuolo
1–1
xG 1.3–1.02
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
1–0
xG 1.14–1.45
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 1.58–1.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
1–0
xG 1.17–1.76
ITA SA
LLDWLWLWDL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 9 GA 14 · xG 10.51–16.54 · xPts 10.66
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.49–2.89
ITA SA
- D
A
Sassuolo
1–1
xG 1.3–1.02
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
1–0
xG 1.14–1.45
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 1.58–1.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
1–0
xG 1.17–1.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
0–2
xG 0.92–1.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.25–0.87
ITA SA
- D
H
AC Milan
2–2
xG 1.41–1.83
ITA SA
- L
H
Bologna
1–3
xG 0.35–2.96
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.91–1.01
ITA SA
All meetings · 12 matches since 2005
Goals 17–21 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–17 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–9 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Lecce 1–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 0–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 1–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lecce 2–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lecce 3–4 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Parma 2–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lecce 1–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Parma 3–3 Lecce neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 0–1 Lecce neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lecce 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Lecce all · 38 | Lecce at home · 19 | Parma all · 38 | Parma away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.05 | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 | 5 / 5 / 9 | 11 / 12 / 15 | 6 / 6 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 26% | 34% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 53% | 42% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 37% | 40% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 42% | 29% | 26% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.89 | 1.07 | 0.89 | 0.86 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.38 | 1.56 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.31 | -0.66 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.39 | -0.15 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.21 | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.16 | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 42% | 34% | 32% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 18% | 25% | 22% |
| Leads held | 62% | 62% | 73% | 86% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 22% | 13% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 51% | 63% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 26% | 24% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 24 | 48 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | 31% | 64% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 67% | 63% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 9.8 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 9.0 |
| On target | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | 56% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 39% | 40% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 31% | 36% | 42% |
| Pressure index | 7.2 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.3 | 40.5 | 37.8 | 32.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 76% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 12.0 | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.87 | 1.89 | 1.97 | 1.84 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563
Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02
Parma · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523
Game state
When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484
Behind vs level +0.02
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 22 58% | 1.14 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-3 | 13 34% | 0.77 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 0.73 | 1.65 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 19 50% | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 16% | 1.83 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.01 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.06 | 2.38 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 10 | Lecce at home · 10 | Parma all · 10 | Parma away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.14 | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| xG against / match | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | -0.55 | -0.64 | -0.76 | -1.08 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.24 | -0.23 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.11 | 1.10 | 0.92 | 0.66 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 7% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 39% | 68% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 32% | 26% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 21 | 68 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | 29 | 47 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 22% | 100% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 47% | 67% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 40% | 42% | 41% |
| Shots | 9.7 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| On target | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 60% | 66% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 43% | 32% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 14% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 41.4 | 37.6 | 30.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 75% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'42
16–30'26
31–45'00
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'22
Parma
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'31
61–75'01
76–90'46
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 2.62 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.89 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.22 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 39 | Lecce at home · 20 | Parma all · 39 | Parma away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 20 | 6 / 5 / 9 | 11 / 12 / 16 | 6 / 6 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 49% | 50% | 41% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 40% | 41% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | 31% | 32% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.95 | 1.09 | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.67 | -0.45 | -0.67 | -0.78 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.29 | -0.14 | -0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.15 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 45% | 33% | 32% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.11 | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 18% | 24% | 22% |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | 73% | 86% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 26% | 13% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | 63% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 29% | 24% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 22 | 48 | 52 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 36 | 40 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 25% | 66% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | 57% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 38% | 34% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 7.4 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.0 | 39.6 | 38.2 | 33.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 76% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 12.0 | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'103
16–30'614
31–45'35
46–60'38
61–75'412
76–90'69
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'35
31–45'36
46–60'57
61–75'49
76–90'1013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 39 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2039
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0739
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3717
Game state
When ahead-0.2518
When level-0.1339
When behind-0.2921
10 min after conceding-0.3728
10 min after scoring+0.1120
Situations
With ten men-0.282
At home-0.1820
Away-0.2219
3 days rest or fewer-0.543
4+ days rest-0.1736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.1711
v bottom-tier opponents-0.363
Evenly matched-0.0314
As underdog-0.3124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4439
Conceded when ahead+0.3718
Conceded late (76+)+0.2835
Congested vs rested -0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.16
Parma · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: with ten men -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1438
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0838
Late push (76+, level)-0.3820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3314
Game state
When ahead-0.1513
When level-0.1338
When behind-0.1521
10 min after conceding-0.3625
10 min after scoring+0.0721
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.185
At home-0.1519
Away-0.1319
4+ days rest-0.1337
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3212
v mid-tier opponents-0.0510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.065
As favourite+0.054
Evenly matched+0.099
As underdog-0.2525
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3638
Conceded when ahead+0.3013
Conceded late (76+)+0.2935
Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.01
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 23 59% | 1.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| 4-3-3 | 12 31% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.89 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 18 46% | 1.39 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 1.57 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.35 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.92 | 1.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.75Home 34% P 33%2.9Draw 32% P 33%2.8Away 34% P 34%
Double Chance
1.4Lecce or Draw 34% P 33%1.4Lecce or Parma 34% P 33%1.44Draw or Parma 33% P 33%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.62Over 36% P 36%1.5Under 64% P 64%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 29%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 36% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 33% | 32% | 29% | -3.3 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 35% | +1.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%
Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 46% | 47% | +0.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 36% | 41% | +4.2 |
Livio Marinelli
- Career
- 71 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.04 (3.83 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.8 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 54%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 61 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.93 | 4.49 | -0.80 | 22 |
| Fouls / match | 23.7 | 25.2 | -0.93 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 5.6 | +0.19 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.31 | +0.30 | 66 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.78 | 78 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 56% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-10-19 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 50' | 7 |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 31' | 8 |
| 2025-08-29 · Lecce | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 64' | 10 |
| 2025-05-25 · Parma | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 47' | 8 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 87' | 5 |
| 2025-05-09 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 37' | 7 |
| 2025-04-23 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 65' | 10 |
| 2025-02-28 · Lecce | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 17' | 6 |
| 2025-02-17 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 12' | 4 |