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Serie A · Matchweek 20

Momentum

RomaSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,713

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Fabio Grosso
Position
5 · 12
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
6.8° (feels 4.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 352

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Roma

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.28–6.28 · xPts 7.26

  • W A Lecce 2–0 xG 1.15–0.5 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 0–1 xG 0.8–2.31 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 3–1 xG 1.59–0.68 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 1–2 xG 1.51–2.2 ITA SA
  • W H Como 1–0 xG 1.23–0.6 ITA SA

Sassuolo

DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.16–7.1 · xPts 4.83

  • L H Juventus 0–3 xG 0.29–1.91 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 1–1 xG 1.02–1.3 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 1–1 xG 1.03–0.95 ITA SA
  • L H Torino 0–1 xG 0.62–1.65 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 2–2 xG 1.2–1.29 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Roma 139 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 45–26 · 2.96 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Roma 54 draws1 Sassuolo

Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Roma 40 draws1 Sassuolo

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Roma 2–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 1–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–4 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Roma 0–0 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricRoma all · 38Roma at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.922.211.291.05
W / D / L23 / 4 / 1113 / 3 / 314 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.551.741.211.11
Goals against / match0.820.531.321.26
Clean sheets47%58%21%21%
Failed to score18%16%32%32%
Both teams scored34%26%53%58%
Over 2.537%32%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.481.571.151.14
xG against / match0.990.731.441.52
xG difference0.490.85-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG0.070.160.06-0.04
xPts / match1.701.911.201.15
Points vs xPts0.220.300.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first66%74%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.722.862.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.380.400.550.45
Came back from behind27%40%29%31%
Leads held88%93%82%71%
Minutes leading40%41%22%15%
Minutes level44%46%47%55%
Minutes trailing16%12%31%31%
First goal (min)36423850
First goal conceded (min)46493236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%58%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%70%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.320.160.11
Late goals against0.260.210.320.37
Style
Possession56%58%46%45%
Shots13.215.310.710.6
On target4.75.23.73.8
Shot conversion12%11%11%10%
Shots inside box74%75%66%66%
Big chances created2.22.42.12.0
Corners5.25.73.83.7
xG from set plays31%27%29%33%
Goals from headers20%27%9%10%
Pressure index18.621.09.07.3
Dominant minutes61.968.038.634.6
Pass accuracy83%85%82%82%
Fouls13.812.712.012.2
Cards1.891.632.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Sassuolo · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.205
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level+0.195
When behind+0.262
10 min after conceding-0.425
10 min after scoring+0.175

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
Evenly matched+0.382
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.055
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.07

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Sassuolo

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 28%5.25Away 18% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Roma or Draw 41% P 42%1.28Roma or Sassuolo 37% P 36%2.15Draw or Sassuolo 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 47%1.7No 55% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 15–17.5% · 220 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%57%55%-2.0
Draw28%27%28%+1.5
Away16%17%17%+0.5

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 42%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Matteo Marcenaro

Career
53 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 49 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.48+0.7378
Fouls / match24.325.1-0.50
Fouls per card4.95.6-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.31+0.0258
Time added6.36.4-0.2527
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-30 40 250 59'5
2025-11-07 60 280 17'5
2025-10-29 50 320 26'8
2025-10-18 30 180 10'6
2025-09-14 50 330 10'8
2025-08-24 31 220 14'6
2025-07-24 20 150 43'8
2025-07-15 71 330 14'6
2025-05-25 51 210 9'6
2025-04-13 40 250 31'2