Rating 6.98 (72th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (22% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (26) · 1.58 without (12)
Serie A · Matchweek 21
Momentum
– BolognaFiorentina –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Bologna | at home | Stat | league | away | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.0 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.0 #9 |
| 12.9 #8 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 12.9 #9 |
| 3.8 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 3.4 #16 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 13.1 #10 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.4 #12 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| 14.2 #15 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.3 #19 |
| 98.5 #8 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 89.4 #12 |
| 41.0 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 39.0 #10 |
| 443.8 #9 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 423.6 #10 |
| 1.7 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 0.8 #10 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.6 #15 |
| – #11 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #1 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.4 #8 |
| -0.0 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #17 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #10 |
| 1.3 #8 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 #12 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 #7 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 7.7 #10 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.4 #12 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.3 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.8 #4 |
| 8.1 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 8.1 #9 |
| 5.8 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #6 |
| 4.8 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #6 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bologna · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.12 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.69 ppg with (29) · 0.78 without (9)
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 53% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (19) · 1.26 without (19)
Fiorentina · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.2 (91th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (30) · 0.88 without (8)
Rating 6.91 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (56th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 21
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
- Capacity
- 36,532
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 27,590
Teams
- Coaches
- Vincenzo Italiano · Daniele Cavalletto
- Position
- 8 · 18
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Daniele Doveri
Weather
- Conditions
- drizzle
- Temperature
- 7.5° (feels 6.2°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 96%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Bologna
DLLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.29–7.45 · xPts 5.6
- W
A
Hellas Verona
3–2
xG 0.84–1.21
ITA SA
- D
A
Como
1–1
xG 1.21–1.39
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.45–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–3
xG 0.84–2.71
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
1–1
xG 0.95–1.03
ITA SA
WLDWLDLLDW 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 16 · xG 16.86–13.13 · xPts 15.39
- W
A
Hellas Verona
3–2
xG 0.84–1.21
ITA SA
- D
A
Como
1–1
xG 1.21–1.39
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.45–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–3
xG 0.84–2.71
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
1–1
xG 0.95–1.03
ITA SA
- L
H
Juventus
0–1
xG 0.8–1.47
ITA SA
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 1.85–0.27
UEFA EL - D
A
Lazio
1–1
xG 1.42–1.24
ITA SA
- L
H
Cremonese
1–3
xG 3.1–1.54
ITA SA
- W
H
Salzburg
4–1
xG 4.41–1.17
UEFA EL
Fiorentina
WLWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.83–6.47 · xPts 9.05
- D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 2.1–1.25
ITA SA
- D
A
Lazio
2–2
xG 1.41–2.58
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
1–0
xG 2.38–0.74
ITA SA
- L
A
Parma
0–1
xG 1.45–1.14
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
5–1
xG 2.5–0.76
ITA SA
LLWLLWLWDD 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 13 GA 14 · xG 18.53–13.31 · xPts 16.92
- D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 2.1–1.25
ITA SA
- D
A
Lazio
2–2
xG 1.41–2.58
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
1–0
xG 2.38–0.74
ITA SA
- L
A
Parma
0–1
xG 1.45–1.14
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
5–1
xG 2.5–0.76
ITA SA
- L
A
Lausanne Sport
0–1
xG 0.97–1.71
UEFA ECL - L
H
Hellas Verona
1–2
xG 1.61–1.11
ITA SA
- W
H
Dynamo Kyiv
2–1
xG 2.98–0.57
UEFA ECL - L
A
Sassuolo
1–3
xG 1.33–1.17
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.81–2.28
ITA SA
All meetings · 34 matches since 2008
Goals 32–50 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 3–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 2–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Bologna 2–3 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Bologna all · 38 | Bologna at home · 19 | Fiorentina all · 38 | Fiorentina away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.47 | 1.16 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| W / D / L | 16 / 8 / 14 | 6 / 4 / 9 | 9 / 15 / 14 | 5 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 37% | 26% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 42% | 29% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 32% | 58% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 37% | 50% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.12 | 1.01 | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | 0.20 | 0.42 | -0.08 | -0.60 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | -0.43 | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.62 | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.46 | -0.23 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 37% | 45% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.29 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 18% | 30% | 20% |
| Leads held | 70% | 67% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 16% | 21% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 59% | 53% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 25% | 26% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 51 | 46 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 45 | 44 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 58% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 56% | 60% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 56% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.9 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 10.1 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 62% | 63% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 34% | 32% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 6% | 16% | 10% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 13.8 | 14.4 | 13.1 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.0 | 55.9 | 47.7 | 40.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 12.7 | 12.4 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 1.97 | 1.42 | 2.29 | 2.42 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bologna
0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109
Fiorentina
0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bologna · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384
Situations
At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144
Behind vs level -0.49
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 71% | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.19 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 21% | 1.63 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 15 40% | 1.8 | 1.27 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| 3-5-2 | 8 21% | 0.38 | 1.0 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 1.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 1.22 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Bologna all · 10 | Bologna at home · 10 | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.54 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.61 | 1.90 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.47 | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.29 | -0.54 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.66 | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.50 | -0.96 | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 1.33 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 29% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 25% | 40% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 15% | 25% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 57% | 54% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 31% | 24% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 48 | 36 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 43 | 45 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 70% | 44% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 69% | 59% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 58% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.7 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 32% | 11% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 20% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 13.9 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.9 | 59.3 | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 13.5 | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bologna
0–15'12
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'24
61–75'02
76–90'32
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| Metric | Bologna all · 53 | Bologna at home · 27 | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.49 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 18 | 7 / 9 / 11 | 17 / 13 / 21 | 9 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.11 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 30% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 37% | 29% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 44% | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 41% | 61% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.05 | 1.40 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.56 | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.50 | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.58 | -0.19 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 37% | 43% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.36 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.68 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 27% | 32% | 25% |
| Leads held | 71% | 58% | 59% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 16% | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 58% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 26% | 26% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 51 | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 44 | 43 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 70% | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 56% | 61% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 58% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 16.2 | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 32% | 31% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 20% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 16.3 | 17.6 | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.4 | 59.5 | 48.6 | 40.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 12.9 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.39 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bologna
0–15'67
16–30'117
31–45'1214
46–60'1913
61–75'913
76–90'1413
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bologna · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2353
Late push (76+, level)+0.2619
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0716
Game state
When ahead+0.2830
When level+0.2953
When behind+0.1026
10 min after conceding-0.0637
10 min after scoring+0.6738
Situations
With ten men+0.167
Against ten men+0.516
At home+0.1927
Away+0.3026
3 days rest or fewer+0.0815
4+ days rest+0.3138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0017
v mid-tier opponents+0.1611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
As favourite+0.4325
Evenly matched+0.1215
As underdog+0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1153
Conceded when ahead-0.1630
Conceded late (76+)-0.2249
Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.19
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 66% | 1.4 | 1.34 | 1.26 | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 26% | 1.93 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.56 | 1.87 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.37Home 40% P 40%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.1Away 31% P 31%
Double Chance
1.4Bologna or Draw 33% P 35%1.33Bologna or Fiorentina 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Fiorentina 31% P 30%
Draw No Bet
1.721 54%2.02 46%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Daniele Doveri
- Career
- 267 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.32
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 83 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.7 | 4.49 | -1.13 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 24.9 | 25.2 | -0.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 5.6 | +1.14 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.31 | -0.76 | 27 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.58 | 71 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 71' | 7 |
| 2025-12-27 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 31' | 7 |
| 2025-12-14 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 54' | 8 |
| 2025-12-08 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 41' | 6 |
| 2025-11-22 · Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2025-11-02 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 41' | 9 |
| 2025-10-28 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9' | 7 |
| 2025-10-04 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 82' | 11 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2025-08-30 · Bologna | 7 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 2' | 6 |