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Serie A · Matchweek 21

Momentum

CagliariJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,412

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Luciano Spalletti
Position
16 · 4
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Davide Massa

Weather

Conditions
light intensity shower rain
Temperature
14.1° (feels 13.6°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
77%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.68–7.34 · xPts 5.79

  • L A Genoa 0–3 xG 1.14–0.79 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 2–2 xG 2.09–1.52 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–1 xG 0.44–0.77 ITA SA
  • W A Torino 2–1 xG 0.83–1.54 ITA SA
  • D H Pisa 2–2 xG 1.18–2.72 ITA SA

Juventus

WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 2 · xG 10.88–4.5 · xPts 10.67

  • W H Cremonese 5–0 xG 2.56–1.32 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 3–0 xG 1.91–0.29 ITA SA
  • D H Lecce 1–1 xG 2.94–0.27 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 2–0 xG 1.28–1.11 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 2–1 xG 2.2–1.51 ITA SA

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

Cagliari 47 draws25 Juventus

Goals 29–74 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cagliari 12 draws7 Juventus

Goals 8–17 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cagliari 12 draws2 Juventus

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Cagliari 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 2–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 1–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 1–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.321.821.68
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 819 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.051.161.611.37
Goals against / match1.391.210.890.95
Clean sheets21%32%42%42%
Failed to score37%37%21%21%
Both teams scored50%37%45%42%
Over 2.550%37%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.961.831.59
xG against / match1.401.241.001.08
xG difference-0.38-0.280.830.51
Finishing vs xG0.030.20-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.131.191.831.65
Points vs xPts0.000.13-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first29%32%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.093.002.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.620.17
Came back from behind35%33%50%17%
Leads held65%78%83%75%
Minutes leading16%20%35%33%
Minutes level51%52%49%48%
Minutes trailing32%28%17%18%
First goal (min)49523537
First goal conceded (min)37384039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.340.21
Late goals against0.370.370.210.32
Style
Possession46%45%58%56%
Shots10.910.716.813.9
On target3.53.46.05.1
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box61%63%65%66%
Big chances created1.91.92.92.7
Corners3.84.25.44.4
xG from set plays37%43%26%22%
Goals from headers30%46%24%15%
Pressure index8.59.322.519.4
Dominant minutes36.840.264.760.3
Pass accuracy80%79%86%85%
Fouls13.813.812.112.9
Cards2.241.891.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-4-22 5%0.50.51.50.981.63

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 13%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.53Away 62% P 63%

Double Chance

2.37Cagliari or Draw 20% P 19%1.22Cagliari or Juventus 38% P 38%1.12Draw or Juventus 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 41%1.66No 56% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 43%1.8Under 53% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%16%+1.8
Draw24%22%23%+0.7
Away63%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Davide Massa

Career
316 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.24.49+1.0188
Fouls / match26.825.2+1.11
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-0.9712
Time added6.46.4-0.0444
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-11 50 240 31'11
2026-01-04 53 230 43'8
2025-12-14 · Juventus 41 210 19'6
2025-12-09 30 210 27'8
2025-11-30 70 270 54'8
2025-11-25 11 292 52'9
2025-10-30 40 280 41'5
2025-10-21 30 240 33'5
2025-10-18 70 470 4'6
2025-10-02 30 291 30'9