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Serie A · Matchweek 21

Momentum

PisaAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Capacity
10,442
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,372

Teams

Coaches
Alberto Gilardino · Raffaele Palladino
Position
19 · 7
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Matteo Marchetti

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
7.9° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
92%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Pisa

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.82–6.92 · xPts 7.36

  • D A Udinese 2–2 xG 1.64–2.01 ITA SA
  • L H Como 0–3 xG 1.54–1.86 ITA SA
  • D A Genoa 1–1 xG 0.81–0.58 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–2 xG 1.11–1.28 ITA SA
  • D A Cagliari 2–2 xG 2.72–1.18 ITA SA

Atalanta

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 8.33–4.79 · xPts 9.04

  • W H Torino 2–0 xG 1.91–0.76 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.11–1.45 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.8 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.81–1.08 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 1–0 xG 2.2–0.69 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Pisa 02 draws0 Atalanta

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Pisa 02 draws0 Atalanta

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Pisa 02 draws0 Atalanta

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Pisa 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Pisa ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricPisa all · 38Pisa at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.470.531.551.37
W / D / L2 / 12 / 242 / 4 / 1315 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match0.680.471.341.37
Goals against / match1.871.370.951.11
Clean sheets13%21%34%32%
Failed to score55%63%21%10%
Both teams scored42%32%53%63%
Over 2.553%37%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.121.711.46
xG against / match1.561.341.181.42
xG difference-0.48-0.220.530.04
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.65-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.111.201.711.44
Points vs xPts-0.64-0.67-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first26%16%50%53%
PPG when scoring first1.102.002.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.130.080.560.38
Came back from behind17%7%44%38%
Leads held18%67%75%60%
Minutes leading7%7%28%22%
Minutes level59%66%51%52%
Minutes trailing34%28%21%26%
First goal (min)39534657
First goal conceded (min)43544849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%78%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%69%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.130.050.340.42
Late goals against0.500.470.240.32
Style
Possession40%42%55%54%
Shots9.610.214.812.5
On target2.83.14.64.2
Shot conversion7%5%9%11%
Shots inside box74%74%66%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.52.2
Corners3.63.85.74.5
xG from set plays36%30%25%21%
Goals from headers19%33%14%4%
Pressure index7.57.715.912.7
Dominant minutes33.336.555.449.1
Pass accuracy76%76%84%83%
Fouls13.213.311.812.3
Cards2.212.161.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Pisa

0–15'57
16–30'56
31–45'217
46–60'611
61–75'311
76–90'519

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Pisa

No pressure profile yet.

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Pisa

Current: winless 9 · scoring 1 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-221 55%0.380.431.861.071.49
3-4-2-112 32%0.330.581.920.731.68
3-4-1-21 3%1.02.02.01.642.01
4-4-21 3%1.02.02.01.632.41
5-3-21 3%1.02.02.01.851.36

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.25Home 15% P 15%4.0Draw 24% P 23%1.57Away 61% P 62%

Double Chance

2.3Pisa or Draw 20% P 19%1.22Pisa or Atalanta 38% P 38%1.12Draw or Atalanta 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 60–65% · 334 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%14%14%+0.1
Draw23%23%22%-0.9
Away62%63%64%+0.8

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Matteo Marchetti

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.41 (4.13 yellow · 0.24 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.144.49-0.5032
Fouls / match25.425.2+0.23
Fouls per card6.15.6+0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.31+0.1263
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.32

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-07 30 221 28'11
2025-12-27 60 340 22'6
2025-12-13 32 220 42'7
2025-11-28 30 180 37'6
2025-10-19 40 340 13'6
2025-08-31 40 221 38'8
2025-07-24 50 270 23'10
2025-07-15 50 190 10'7
2025-05-12 50 380 83'8
2025-04-13 40 300 23'2