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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Momentum

AtalantaParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,815

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
7 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
6.1° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
90%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.89–5.77 · xPts 8.87

  • L H Athletic Club 2–3 xG 1.71–1.24 UEFA CL
  • D A Pisa 1–1 xG 1.85–1.52 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–0 xG 1.91–0.76 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.11–1.45 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.8 ITA SA

Parma

DLWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.12–7.33 · xPts 5.01

  • D H Genoa 0–0 xG 0.61–1.14 ITA SA
  • D A Napoli 0–0 xG 0.34–1.51 ITA SA
  • W A Lecce 2–1 xG 1.37–0.76 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.49–2.89 ITA SA
  • D A Sassuolo 1–1 xG 1.3–1.02 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2006

Atalanta 144 draws6 Parma

Goals 50–30 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 81 draws1 Parma

Goals 31–9 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 31 draws1 Parma

Goals 15–7 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Atalanta 4–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 2–3 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 1–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 2–5 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 5–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 1–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Parma all · 38Parma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.181.26
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 411 / 12 / 156 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.341.320.740.63
Goals against / match0.950.791.211.11
Clean sheets34%37%34%42%
Failed to score21%32%42%47%
Both teams scored53%42%40%32%
Over 2.537%37%29%26%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.950.890.86
xG against / match1.180.931.561.59
xG difference0.531.01-0.66-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.63-0.15-0.23
xPts / match1.711.991.010.96
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.250.170.31
Game state
Scored first50%47%34%32%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.462.67
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.370.44
Came back from behind44%50%25%22%
Leads held75%90%73%86%
Minutes leading28%33%13%14%
Minutes level51%51%63%63%
Minutes trailing21%16%24%23%
First goal (min)46314849
First goal conceded (min)48484139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%64%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%63%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.260.21
Late goals against0.240.160.340.37
Style
Possession55%56%44%42%
Shots14.817.110.79.0
On target4.65.12.72.5
Shot conversion9%8%7%7%
Shots inside box66%66%56%56%
Big chances created2.53.01.61.7
Corners5.76.83.83.5
xG from set plays25%28%40%43%
Goals from headers14%24%36%42%
Pressure index15.919.29.17.5
Dominant minutes55.461.737.832.6
Pass accuracy84%85%80%80%
Fouls11.811.410.810.8
Cards1.681.261.971.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 70% P 72%4.75Draw 20% P 18%9.5Away 10% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Atalanta or Draw 45% P 45%1.18Atalanta or Parma 41% P 41%3.25Draw or Parma 15% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 44%1.8No 52% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 7.5–10% · 200 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home72%72%80%+8.5
Draw18%19%15%-4.1
Away10%9%5%-4.3

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Juan Luca Sacchi

Career
80 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.49-0.7327
Fouls / match25.625.2+0.30
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7724
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-06 40 300 5'5
2025-12-28 50 370 21'7
2025-12-12 30 230 33'8
2025-11-22 10 351 45'11
2025-11-03 20 260 46'5
2025-04-28 · Parma 40 230 50'8
2025-03-31 · Parma 30 200 65'6