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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Momentum

InterPisa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Capacity
75,817
Surface
grass
Attendance
73,594

Teams

Coaches
Cristian Chivu · Alberto Gilardino
Position
1 · 19
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
2.6° (feels 0.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 356

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Inter

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.82–4.35 · xPts 10.38

  • L H Arsenal 1–3 xG 1.72–2.04 UEFA CL
  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 1.84–0.24 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.8–0.51 ITA SA
  • D H Napoli 2–2 xG 1.58–1.08 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 2–0 xG 2.89–0.49 ITA SA

Pisa

LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.62–7.59 · xPts 6.29

  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.52–1.85 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 2–2 xG 1.64–2.01 ITA SA
  • L H Como 0–3 xG 1.54–1.86 ITA SA
  • D A Genoa 1–1 xG 0.81–0.58 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–2 xG 1.11–1.28 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Inter 20 draws0 Pisa

Goals 8–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Inter 20 draws0 Pisa

Goals 8–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Inter 20 draws0 Pisa

Goals 8–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Inter 6–2 Pisa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Pisa 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricInter all · 38Inter at home · 19Pisa all · 38Pisa away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.292.370.470.42
W / D / L27 / 6 / 514 / 3 / 22 / 12 / 240 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match2.342.630.680.89
Goals against / match0.920.841.872.37
Clean sheets47%42%13%5%
Failed to score5%5%55%47%
Both teams scored47%53%42%53%
Over 2.555%63%53%68%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.942.241.081.04
xG against / match0.900.771.561.79
xG difference1.041.47-0.48-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.400.39-0.40-0.14
xPts / match2.002.221.111.02
Points vs xPts0.290.15-0.64-0.60
Game state
Scored first84%90%26%37%
PPG when scoring first2.532.471.100.71
PPG when conceding first1.001.500.130.18
Came back from behind38%33%17%27%
Leads held77%78%18%0%
Minutes leading52%53%7%8%
Minutes level39%40%59%52%
Minutes trailing10%7%34%40%
First goal (min)29293929
First goal conceded (min)50564333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%62%54%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%56%58%51%
Late goals for (76'+)0.550.630.130.21
Late goals against0.320.370.500.53
Style
Possession60%60%40%38%
Shots17.118.29.68.9
On target6.06.82.82.5
Shot conversion14%14%7%10%
Shots inside box72%75%74%75%
Big chances created3.94.71.81.6
Corners6.37.43.63.3
xG from set plays28%30%36%43%
Goals from headers23%18%19%12%
Pressure index23.024.97.57.3
Dominant minutes66.170.333.330.1
Pass accuracy87%88%76%77%
Fouls13.113.213.213.1
Cards1.681.372.212.26

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pisa

0–15'57
16–30'56
31–45'217
46–60'611
61–75'311
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Pisa

No pressure profile yet.

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Pisa

Current: winless 9 · scoring 1 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-221 55%0.380.431.861.071.49
3-4-2-112 32%0.330.581.920.731.68
4-4-21 3%1.02.02.01.632.41
3-4-31 3%3.03.01.02.41.25
3-4-1-21 3%1.02.02.01.642.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 76% P 75%6.0Draw 16% P 16%11.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.05Inter Milan or Draw 45% P 45%1.12Inter Milan or Pisa 42% P 42%3.75Draw or Pisa 13% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%76%77%+0.9
Draw16%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Matteo Marcenaro

Career
53 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 49 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.49+0.7276
Fouls / match24.325.2-0.50
Fouls per card4.95.6-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.31+0.0358
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 40 310 22'8
2025-11-30 40 250 59'5
2025-11-07 · Pisa 60 280 17'5
2025-10-29 50 320 26'8
2025-10-18 30 180 10'6
2025-09-14 50 330 10'8
2025-08-24 31 220 14'6
2025-07-24 20 150 43'8
2025-07-15 71 330 14'6
2025-05-25 51 210 9'6